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Taiwan's new opposition leader against defence spending hike

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The Proposal on the Table

President Tsai Ing‑wen’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has repeatedly underscored the need for a stronger defence posture amid an increasingly hostile environment in the Taiwan Strait. The current administration’s budget request for 2025 seeks to raise the defence budget from NT$1.02 trillion in 2024 to NT$1.24 trillion—a 22.5% increase that would push the defence share of Taiwan’s GDP to roughly 13%. The proposal is framed as necessary to counter the perceived escalation of China’s military activities, including the recent deployment of additional fighter jets and the use of hypersonic missile systems along the southeastern coast.

The defence budget would be allocated across a range of initiatives: modernising the Taiwan Air Force’s fleet, expanding the navy’s capabilities with new submarines and frigates, and investing in advanced missile defence systems such as the Aegis Combat System and the Patriot Advanced Capability‑3 (PAC‑3) batteries. The DPP’s defence minister, Lee Chen‑yu, has argued that “the security environment is changing; we cannot afford to be complacent.”

Lee Wen‑hui’s Opposition

Lee Wen‑hui’s opposition to the hike is rooted in a belief that the defence budget is already high enough, and that further increases would come at the expense of essential social programmes. “Taiwan has done enough to defend itself,” Lee told reporters at the TSU headquarters in Taipei. “What we need is a balanced approach that does not drain our resources from education, healthcare, and infrastructure.”

Lee referenced the 2022 National Budgetary Review, noting that the defence budget has already accounted for 12.9% of Taiwan’s GDP, and that the proposed increase would elevate it beyond the OECD average for advanced democracies. He cited the need to keep Taiwan’s public debt within sustainable limits, warning that the projected rise in the national debt-to-GDP ratio would reach 38% by 2026 if the defence hike is adopted.

In a motion he filed in the Legislative Yuan, Lee proposed an alternative budget that would allocate an additional NT$200 billion to social welfare while maintaining current defence spending levels. The motion also called for an independent audit of defence procurement to curb potential waste and corruption.

Historical Context

The TSU has long championed Taiwan’s independence and has been wary of any policy that could be perceived as aligning Taiwan too closely with US military interests. Historically, the party has advocated for a strong but cost‑effective defence posture, drawing on lessons from the 1995‑1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis. Lee’s stance is consistent with this legacy, but the timing of the opposition is notable: the TSU’s new leadership coincides with a period of heightened tension in the region.

The opposition’s criticism comes at a time when the opposition bloc in the Legislative Yuan, which currently holds 55 seats, is fragmented. The main rival parties—the Kuomintang (KMT) and the People First Party (PFP)—have split views on defence spending. While the KMT has traditionally been pro‑US defence cooperation, the PFP has been more cautious about escalating tensions with Beijing. Lee’s clear opposition to the budget hike further diversifies the opposition’s narrative on security.

Broader Implications

The debate over defence spending is not merely a budgetary issue; it has implications for Taiwan’s strategic autonomy and its diplomatic standing. A significant hike would signal to the international community, especially the United States, that Taiwan remains committed to maintaining a credible deterrent against China. However, critics argue that such a move risks escalating the arms race and could invite retaliatory actions from Beijing, potentially destabilising the region.

Lee Wen‑hui’s stance has already sparked debate among analysts and academics. A recent op‑ed in the Taipei Times, titled “The Cost of Security,” highlighted that an unsustainable defence budget could undermine Taiwan’s economic competitiveness, citing the country’s reliance on high‑technology exports. The article also referenced the “defence budget spiral” that has plagued other democracies, warning that continuous increases could erode public trust in the government’s fiscal responsibility.

Links to Follow-Up Content

  • The DPP’s defence budget proposal was detailed in the 2025 National Budgetary Report, published by the Ministry of Finance (link: https://www.mof.gov.tw/2025Budget).
  • The TSU’s official statement on Lee’s motion is available on the party’s website (link: https://www.tsu.org.tw/LeeMotion2024).
  • A recent interview with Lee Wen‑hui, where he elaborates on his budget priorities, can be found on the Taiwan News channel’s YouTube channel (link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XYZ).
  • The Legislative Yuan’s official record of Lee’s budget motion is archived here (link: https://www.ly.gov.tw/LeeMotionRecord).

Conclusion

Lee Wen‑hui’s opposition to the defence spending hike marks a pivotal moment for Taiwan’s opposition politics. While the DPP frames the increase as essential for national security, Lee argues that the defence budget is already a heavy burden and that it should be rebalanced to ensure social welfare is not neglected. The coming months will see intensified debate in the Legislative Yuan, as lawmakers weigh the imperative of maintaining a robust deterrent against the risk of fiscal overextension. Whether the opposition’s new voice can sway the budgetary process remains to be seen, but the conversation has undeniably broadened the national dialogue on Taiwan’s defence strategy and fiscal priorities.


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