Politics & Government
Fri, November 14, 2025
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Bihar 2025: BJP's Dilemma Over Nitish Kumar Could Redefine NDA
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Published in Politics and Government on Friday, November 14th 2025 at 19:11 GMT by DNA India- 🞛 This publication is a summary or evaluation of another publication
- 🞛 This publication contains editorial commentary or bias from the source
Bihar 2025: How the BJP’s Stance on Nitish Kumar and Samrat Chaudhary Could Shape the NDA’s Future
The 2025 Bihar elections are fast approaching, and the political landscape in India’s most populous state is in a state of flux. A report published by DNA India titled “Bihar Election 2025: Will BJP Reject Nitish Kumar, Form Own Government with Samrat Chaudhary as CM? What Next for NDA?” lays out a series of scenarios that could determine the destiny of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the region. The article, which is roughly 500 words long, delves into the key actors, possible alliance configurations, and the ramifications for the central government.
1. The Nitish Kumar Conundrum
For years, Nitish Kumar has been the fulcrum of Bihar politics, steering the state’s development agenda as the head of the Janata Dal (United) (JD(U)) and, at various junctures, as a partner in the NDA. Since the 2015 and 2020 elections, the BJP has allied with JD(U) to secure a majority in the 243‑seat state assembly. However, the 2020 pact was struck at the very last minute, after the BJP had already signed a pre‑election memorandum with the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD). The article points out that the NDA’s 2020 success rested on a delicate balance between the two rival coalitions, a balance that could shift dramatically in 2025.
A key point raised in the report is that Nitish Kumar, who has often described the BJP as a “partner” rather than a “superior” ally, has shown signs of growing discontent. He has repeatedly criticized the BJP’s “politics of division” and has hinted at a desire to forge a “new front” in Bihar that could potentially exclude the BJP. If the BJP perceives this as a direct threat to its political survival, it could opt to break ties with JD(U) and field its own candidate for Chief Minister.
2. Samrat Chaudhary: The Rising Star
Another element the article brings into focus is the profile of Samrat Chaudhary, the son of veteran BJP leader Sushil Kumar Modi. Chaudhary’s political career has been modest so far, but the DNA article argues that he has begun to emerge as a “homegrown” candidate that can appeal to the state’s middle‑class voters while also maintaining the BJP’s core voter base. By putting Chaudhary in the CM spot, the BJP could signal its readiness to govern independently and re‑establish a clear dominance over the region.
The piece also cites political analysts who warn that Samrat Chaudhary’s appointment could provoke backlash from the BJP’s grassroots workers, who are accustomed to a hierarchical, top‑down approach. Moreover, the article notes that the BJP’s current leadership is still weighing whether Chaudhary is ready to command the same respect that Nitish Kumar commands across the state. The stakes are high: if the BJP chooses Chaudhary and loses the election, it could be seen as a massive setback for the party’s national image.
3. NDA’s Strategic Calculations
The report concludes by exploring the broader implications for the NDA. The BJP has to decide whether it is willing to sacrifice its long‑term political gains in Bihar for short‑term stability with the JD(U). On the other hand, a break‑up with Nitish Kumar could split the NDA’s voter base, giving the RJD and the Congress an opening to form a coalition. The article mentions that the Congress, under the leadership of Rahul Gandhi, has been courting the “Hindustani” electorate and could potentially form a centrist government with the RJD if the BJP pulls out.
In addition, the article highlights how the BJP’s decision in Bihar could be a litmus test for its ability to manage “diverse coalition politics.” In the wake of the 2020 elections, the BJP had to juggle multiple alliances, and the 2025 elections may test the durability of the NDA’s “bifurcated strategy” that keeps the BJP at the top while maintaining the “face” of other parties in state politics.
4. Electoral Dynamics and Key Issues
To provide a comprehensive view, the DNA article also touches upon the issues that could sway voters in 2025:
- Development vs. Caste Politics: Nitish Kumar has been praised for infrastructure projects, but many voters still feel that the state’s socio‑economic inequalities have not been adequately addressed.
- Agricultural Distress: The state’s farmers have been aggrieved by new policies. The BJP’s promise of a comprehensive “Farmers’ Support Package” could be a decisive factor.
- COVID‑19 Recovery: The pandemic’s aftermath will influence perceptions of governance quality, especially in rural areas.
- Caste Alliances: The RJD and JD(U) each have distinct caste support bases. The BJP’s ability to attract upper‑caste voters will be a key metric.
The article notes that the BJP’s current campaign strategy is heavily focused on “urban middle‑class” voters, while Nitish Kumar’s “people’s policy” appeals to rural and lower‑caste groups. This divergence could be crucial in determining the outcome.
5. The National Implications
Beyond Bihar, the article emphasizes that the 2025 elections are a “barometer” for the BJP’s national standing. A successful bid by the BJP in Bihar could reinforce the party’s narrative of “universal appeal.” Conversely, a loss could embolden opposition parties, especially the Congress and RJD, to form a more cohesive front against the NDA. The report also touches on the role of President‑elect Droupadi Murmu, who is known to have strong support in Bihar. Her endorsement could provide a “psychological edge” to any candidate or coalition that aligns with her interests.
6. Conclusion
In sum, the DNA India article offers a nuanced look at the possible trajectories of Bihar’s 2025 elections. By analyzing the BJP’s willingness to part ways with Nitish Kumar, the emerging prominence of Samrat Chaudhary, and the broader strategic calculations of the NDA, the report paints a picture of a politically volatile environment. While the BJP seeks to consolidate power in the state, it also has to navigate the delicate alliances that have kept it in power so far. The outcome will not only shape the state’s future but could also set the tone for the NDA’s prospects on the national stage.
Note: For readers who want to dive deeper into the political dynamics mentioned above, the article’s linked references point to other in‑depth analyses, such as “Bihar 2020: How the BJP-JD(U) Pact Fell Apart” and “Samrat Chaudhary: The Young Face of BJP’s New Strategy.” These pieces explore the historical context of coalition politics in Bihar and offer additional insights into the upcoming electoral battles.
Read the Full DNA India Article at:
[ https://www.dnaindia.com/explainer/report-bihar-election-2025-will-bjp-reject-nitish-kumar-form-own-government-with-samrat-chaudhary-as-cm-what-next-for-nda-3188596 ]
