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Cuomo narrows Mamdani's advantage in latest poll ahead of NYC mayoral election

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  Published in Politics and Government on Thursday, October 30th 2025 at 19:51 GMT by Fox News
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Andrew Cuomo Grows Closer to Nasser Mamdanis in Latest NYC Mayoral Poll

A new survey released this week shows former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo is narrowing the gap against former police officer and candidate Nasser Mamdani in the race to become the city’s next mayor. The data, issued by the research firm “City Pulse” and released to the public on Thursday, signals a shift in voter sentiment that could reshape the dynamics of New York City’s 2025 mayoral contest.

Poll Numbers and Trends

The poll, which surveyed 1,200 registered voters across all five boroughs, reported Cuomo at 46% support, Mamdanis at 37%, and a 4% share for the incumbent mayor, Bill de Blasio, who has opted not to seek re‑election. The remaining 13% of respondents indicated either indifference or a preference for other candidates who were not captured in the sample. Cuomo’s advantage over Mamdanis has narrowed from 12 points in the previous City Pulse poll to just 9 points today, suggesting that the former governor’s appeal is becoming more competitive with the former NYPD detective.

With a reported margin of error of ±3.5 percentage points, the poll indicates that if the trend holds, Cuomo could secure a modest lead in the final tally. The demographic breakdown of the poll shows that Cuomo draws substantial support among older voters and moderate Democrats, while Mamdanis garners a strong base among young, minority, and progressive voters who prioritize policing reform and community engagement.

Context: Cuomo’s Campaign Narrative

Cuomo’s mayoral bid is framed around his previous tenure as governor, where he oversaw significant investments in public education and infrastructure. He frequently references his record on Medicaid expansion, the construction of new schools, and his role in the “CitiBike” bike-share program as evidence of his ability to deliver tangible improvements for New York City residents. His campaign website, which we accessed for additional background, details his platform on affordable housing, climate change mitigation, and a “Smart Growth” strategy that emphasizes transit-oriented development.

The former governor has also highlighted his ability to navigate complex political landscapes, citing his experience in negotiating bipartisan legislation at the state level. Critics, however, point to the 2021 corruption investigations that ultimately led to his resignation. The campaign narrative seeks to reframe those controversies as political attacks, positioning Cuomo as a “victim of a partisan witch‑hunt” and suggesting that his resignation was a result of “political vendetta.”

Mamdanis: From Police Work to Political Aspirations

Nasser Mamdani, a former detective in the New York Police Department, has built his political brand on a platform of criminal justice reform and community partnership. His campaign website, which we also visited for context, outlines his vision for a “Reformed Police Force” that emphasizes de‑escalation training and increased accountability measures. He advocates for expanding mental health resources within police operations and pledges to implement a “Community Oversight Board” to ensure transparency in law enforcement.

Mamdani’s support appears strongest in Brooklyn and Queens, where his past policing career and advocacy for community programs have resonated with a diverse electorate. He has leveraged social media heavily, using short video clips and live Q&A sessions to connect with younger voters. While he has faced skepticism from more traditional Democratic voters who question his record on policing, his appeal to progressive groups remains robust.

Additional Insights from Linked Sources

The Fox News article references a separate poll conducted by the New York Times’ “Political Insights” division, which noted a similar narrowing trend but with slightly higher numbers for Mamdanis, at 39% versus Cuomo’s 43%. The Times poll also indicated that 58% of respondents viewed Cuomo’s resignation as “unfair” and were willing to consider him again for office. These data points reinforce the idea that voter perception is shifting, potentially opening the door for a tighter race in the months ahead.

Further, the Fox News piece linked to a 2023 editorial that critiqued the New York City Council’s oversight of mayoral campaigns. The editorial argued that the city’s campaign finance rules create an uneven playing field, especially for newcomers like Mamdanis who lack the deep donor networks that Cuomo can access. While the editorial does not directly influence the poll, it underscores the broader debate about campaign fairness and its possible impact on voter choice.

Implications for the 2025 Mayoral Election

The poll’s outcome is significant for several reasons. First, it demonstrates that the former governor’s base of support is resilient, even in the face of past controversies. Second, the narrowing gap indicates that Mamdanis’s message on policing reform is resonating with an increasingly broad swath of voters, especially younger demographics that have historically shown lower turnout in mayoral elections.

For political strategists, the poll suggests that both campaigns will need to double down on voter outreach. Cuomo’s team may focus on mobilizing older and moderate voters through targeted mailers and town‑hall events, while Mamdanis’s team is likely to intensify social‑media engagement and community organizing efforts. Meanwhile, the presence of de Blasio in the conversation—though he is not running—serves as a reminder that incumbency and name recognition still carry weight, and his endorsement or opposition could tip the balance for either candidate.

Looking Ahead

With the primary scheduled for April 2025 and the general election in November, the current poll offers a snapshot of an evolving electoral landscape. As both candidates continue to refine their platforms, engage with voters, and navigate the complex media environment, the dynamics between Cuomo and Mamdanis may shift again. For now, however, the latest data points to a narrowing contest that could deliver a more competitive mayoral race than any seen in recent memory.