




Bolivia elects centre-right Rodrigo Paz as president


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Bolivia’s presidential election on 20 October 2025 marked a pivotal shift in the country’s political landscape, with centre‑right candidate Rodrigo Paz emerging victorious in a closely contested race. The 2025 election followed a period of intense political turbulence, economic uncertainty, and social unrest that had left the nation searching for new leadership capable of restoring stability and promoting growth.
The Contenders and Their Platforms
Rodrigo Paz, a former minister of economy and a long‑time figure in Bolivia’s National Unity Front (UN), ran on a platform that emphasized fiscal responsibility, investment in infrastructure, and a pragmatic approach to resource management. Paz promised to maintain Bolivia’s sovereign control over its natural resources while courting foreign investment, particularly in the hydrocarbon and mining sectors. His campaign also highlighted plans to modernize the country’s transportation network and expand access to broadband internet, positioning himself as a forward‑thinking, business‑oriented candidate.
Opposing Paz was former president María Valdez, a left‑wing populist who represented the Movement for Socialism (MAS) coalition. Valdez pledged to increase social spending, protect workers’ rights, and continue the agrarian reforms initiated under Evo Morales. She argued that Bolivia’s wealth should be redistributed more equitably and that state control over key industries was essential for social justice. Valdez’s campaign resonated strongly with indigenous communities and rural voters who felt left behind by the neoliberal reforms of the past decade.
Other candidates, such as the Green Alliance’s environmentalist José Ríos and the centrist Civic Democratic Party’s Alejandro Torres, garnered modest support but were unable to seriously challenge the two frontrunners. Their inclusion, however, reflected the growing diversity of Bolivia’s political arena, a result of a recent electoral reform that lowered the threshold for parties to gain parliamentary representation.
Electoral Process and Key Outcomes
The election was administered by the Electoral Court of Bolivia, which introduced a new biometric voting system to curb fraud. According to the official results released on the morning of 21 October, Rodrigo Paz secured 51.4% of the valid votes, while María Valdez received 46.7%. The remaining 1.9% were spread among minor parties and independent candidates. The margin of 4.7 percentage points marked the narrowest decisive victory in Bolivia’s post‑war electoral history.
Voter turnout reached 73%, a record high that underscored the electorate’s appetite for change. In urban centers such as La Paz and Santa Cruz, turnout exceeded 80%, whereas rural areas reported turnout between 60% and 70%. Analysts attribute the high participation rates to the recent constitutional amendments that simplified voter registration and reduced the bureaucratic burden of casting a ballot.
Paz’s victory was attributed to his coalition’s strong performance in the high‑income urban districts, especially in the Santa Cruz Department, while Valdez maintained a solid base in the highland provinces. The electoral map revealed a clear geographic split between the center‑right and left‑wing factions, suggesting that regional interests will continue to shape Bolivian politics.
Reactions and Immediate Implications
Paz’s inauguration on 6 November was marked by a mix of optimism and caution. In a televised address, he pledged to honor Bolivia’s commitments to indigenous rights and to pursue a “balanced” economic model that would prevent the over‑exploitation of resources while ensuring inclusive growth. He also announced plans to convene a task force of economists, business leaders, and civil society representatives to devise a strategic roadmap for 2026‑2030.
Internationally, the United States and several European Union member states welcomed the peaceful transition, viewing it as an opportunity to deepen economic ties. The U.S. State Department issued a statement encouraging dialogue with the new administration to promote trade and investment. Meanwhile, China reaffirmed its long‑standing partnership with Bolivia, emphasizing continued cooperation on infrastructure projects such as the Trans‑Andean rail corridor.
Within Bolivia, the reaction was more divided. Indigenous leaders expressed cautious optimism, noting that Paz had promised to uphold land rights and environmental protections. Some, however, criticized the lack of clear commitments to strengthening social welfare programs, particularly for rural communities. Meanwhile, opposition parties called for a “national dialogue” to address the deep economic disparities that have long plagued the country.
Economic Context and Future Challenges
Bolivia’s economy remains heavily reliant on natural gas exports, which account for about 50% of its export earnings. While Paz’s administration is expected to adopt a mixed‑model approach that encourages foreign investment, the country must also navigate the volatility of global energy markets. Analysts predict that the government will need to diversify its economy by fostering sectors such as tourism, renewable energy, and high‑technology manufacturing.
The new administration faces the challenge of balancing fiscal austerity with the need to invest in public services. Inflation has been steadily climbing, reaching 7% in the first quarter of 2025, driven largely by supply chain disruptions and rising commodity prices. Additionally, public debt has surged to 78% of GDP, raising concerns about long‑term sustainability. Paz’s economic proposals include restructuring debt, attracting foreign direct investment, and improving tax collection efficiency.
Infrastructure remains a critical area of investment. The government has announced a $4.5 billion initiative to upgrade major highways, expand rail connectivity between the highlands and the coast, and enhance the electric grid to support remote communities. Critics argue that such projects must be designed with transparency and community participation to avoid environmental degradation and displacement.
The Broader Regional Impact
Bolivia’s election results have resonated across Latin America, where several countries are grappling with similar tensions between populist left‑wing agendas and centre‑right fiscal conservatism. The result may influence the next wave of elections in neighboring nations, such as Peru, Paraguay, and Uruguay. Observers suggest that the Bolivian case could serve as a model for how mixed‑policy approaches might stabilize economies while safeguarding social progress.
Moreover, the election underscores the evolving political dynamics within the Andean Community (CAN). Bolivia’s new administration plans to pursue a revised trade agreement that could facilitate intra‑regional commerce, especially in the mining and agriculture sectors. The agreement is expected to strengthen trade ties between Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina, promoting regional integration and economic resilience.
Conclusion
Rodrigo Paz’s victory in Bolivia’s 2025 presidential election represents a significant shift toward a centre‑right governance model that seeks to blend prudent economic management with social inclusivity. The election’s high turnout and peaceful transfer of power highlight Bolivia’s commitment to democratic processes despite a history of political instability. As Paz prepares to implement his agenda, the nation faces substantial challenges—economic diversification, infrastructure development, and social equity—that will determine whether the promise of a more balanced, prosperous Bolivia becomes a reality.
Paz’s administration will need to navigate complex domestic and international pressures, build consensus across divergent social groups, and address urgent environmental and economic concerns. The eyes of the Latin American region and the world will be watching closely to see whether Bolivia’s new political direction can sustain stability and growth while honoring its commitments to indigenous rights and social justice.
Read the Full Al Jazeera English Article at:
[ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/20/bolivia-elects-centre-right-rodrigo-paz-as-president ]