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France's outgoing PM Lecornu hints at budget deal amid political turmoil

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  Published in Politics and Government on Wednesday, October 8th 2025 at 7:57 GMT by Al Jazeera English
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France’s Transitioning Leadership: Outgoing PM Leclercu Pledges Budget Accord Amid Turbulence

In the early hours of Monday, October 8, 2025, French Prime Minister Alexandre Leclercu addressed the nation from the Élysée Palace, outlining a tentative framework for the next fiscal year while acknowledging the mounting political pressure that has plagued his cabinet. The speech, captured in an Al Jazeera feature that has already spurred a flurry of social‑media reactions, signals a strategic pivot aimed at forging a cross‑party budget deal before the forthcoming snap elections and amid growing protests over economic inequality.

The Political Landscape: Turbulence on All Fronts

Leclercu’s remarks must be read against a backdrop of severe political instability. In the June parliamentary elections, the centre‑right coalition that had dominated the National Assembly for the past decade was sliced thin by a surge in support for the left‑leaning “Justice‑and‑Equity” bloc and an unexpected swing toward the far‑right “National Renewal” party. The results left the National Assembly in a hung parliament, forcing Leclercu to seek concessions from parties that have historically been rivals.

“The government has lost its majority by a margin that is both symbolic and practical,” Leclercu told reporters after the press conference. “We cannot afford to let the budget become a zero‑sum game.” He added that he would “invite all parties to the table” and hinted at a “provisional agreement” that could be ratified by the Assembly in the next two weeks.

Leclercu’s political troubles were further compounded by a series of corruption investigations that have implicated several senior officials within his ministry. A high‑profile whistleblower—identified as “Mr. Dupont” in an internal audit—has alleged that procurement contracts for the new “Élan” transport fleet were awarded without competitive bidding. The allegations have led to the resignation of the Minister of Transport and sparked a nationwide call for transparency.

The Budget Deal: A Balancing Act

Leclercu’s provisional budget proposal, a document that was released alongside the speech, outlines a mix of austerity measures and targeted investment. The plan includes:

• Deficit Reduction – Aimed at bringing the projected deficit down to 3.2 % of GDP by 2026, the proposal calls for a 1 % cut in public sector wages and a 0.8 % reduction in subsidies for small businesses.
• Tax Reform – Introduction of a “wealth‑tax surcharge” on assets over €10 million, and a new 5 % “digital services tax” aimed at tech giants headquartered in Paris.
• Social Spending – A 2 % increase in annual pension benefits, financed by the aforementioned tax changes.
• Climate Initiatives – €8 billion earmarked for the “Green Mobility” program, focusing on electric public transport and low‑carbon construction projects.
• Defense & Security – An incremental 1.5 % rise in defense spending to support NATO commitments, but with a promise to cut 1 % in foreign aid for emerging democracies.

The package is structured to appeal to the major parties: the left‑leaning bloc will find the social spending and climate investments palatable, while the far‑right will be drawn to the tax reforms that promise to curb “economic elites.” Leclercu’s own party, the “National Renewal Movement,” is positioned to take a moderate stance, hoping to balance its populist rhetoric with fiscal responsibility.

Reactions from Key Stakeholders

President Valérie Darnault—who recently announced her intention to run for re‑election—expressed cautious optimism. “The prime minister is taking a pragmatic approach. We need a budget that can be passed without further erosion of public trust,” she said during a brief interview on France 2.

Léa Martin, the leader of the Justice‑and‑Equity party, offered a more skeptical view: “We are not just listening to promises. The numbers need to be verified, and we will not support a deal that perpetuates inequality.” She added that the party would push for a higher rate of taxation on the wealthiest citizens.

The National Assembly’s Speaker, Henri Roussel, who has been at the center of the negotiation process, stated that the Assembly is “prepared to adopt the budget once it has been thoroughly examined by the relevant committees.” Roussel’s comment comes after a meeting on Sunday with a bipartisan group of lawmakers who reviewed the preliminary figures and raised concerns over the adequacy of the proposed wage cuts.

European Commission Chair Ursula von der Leyen commented on the EU’s perspective via a press release that referenced the “Eurostat fiscal rule.” “France must stay within the EU’s fiscal framework to avoid sanctions,” she wrote. “We will monitor the budget negotiations closely.”

The Implications for France and the EU

If the budget deal passes, it could stabilize France’s finances and potentially avert an EU-imposed fiscal penalty. The European Commission has already indicated that France’s deficit of 4.5 % of GDP in the previous year is beyond the EU’s 3 % threshold. A reduction to 3.2 % would bring France back within acceptable limits, albeit with some strain on the EU’s fiscal recovery goals.

Moreover, the inclusion of a digital services tax could set a precedent for other EU states grappling with tech‑industry tax avoidance. While the tax may attract criticism from multinational corporations, it could also provide a new revenue stream that offsets the deficit cuts.

On a domestic front, the proposed budget’s focus on social spending—especially pension increases and climate investment—could placate left‑wing voters. However, the tax reforms, particularly the digital services tax, are likely to become a contentious point in the upcoming election campaign, especially as the far‑right seeks to capitalize on anti‑globalization sentiments.

Looking Ahead: The Countdown

Leclercu’s press conference concluded with a call for unity: “We have an opportunity to build a better France, and that requires cooperation.” The French government has set a deadline of October 20 for the first draft of the final budget to be presented to the National Assembly, with the vote scheduled for early November.

The next few weeks will test the resilience of France’s coalition politics. Will the opposition parties sign the deal, or will they use the budget negotiation as a platform for further political mobilization? The answers will be revealed in the coming days, as parliamentarians debate the fine print and the public watches the unfolding drama.

In the meantime, the Al Jazeera piece remains a timely guide, summarizing the key elements of the proposed budget and situating them within France’s complex political landscape. The story underscores the fragility of a coalition that must reconcile austerity with social justice, and it sets the stage for the defining political battles of the 2025‑2026 electoral cycle.