Hariri Signals Political Comeback in Lebanon
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BEIRUT, Lebanon (Kelo) - Former Prime Minister Saad Hariri's recent public pronouncements are sending ripples through the Lebanese political landscape, widely interpreted as a prelude to his re-engagement in active politics and potential participation in upcoming elections. The statements, centering on internal reconciliation within his Future Movement and cautious optimism regarding Lebanon's future, have ignited speculation about a possible reshaping of political alliances and a renewed push for reform.
Hariri, who has largely remained on the sidelines since resigning as Prime Minister in 2019 amidst widespread protests and the economic collapse, delivered a televised interview where he addressed the fractious state of the Future Movement. "We need to unite and work together to overcome the challenges facing our country," he stated, directly acknowledging internal disagreements but emphasizing the critical need for cohesive action. He positioned unity not merely as a desirable outcome, but as a prerequisite for addressing the nation's deeply entrenched economic and political crises.
Beyond internal party dynamics, Hariri underscored the vital role of international support in Lebanon's recovery. This is a consistent theme in his rhetoric, reflecting Lebanon's longstanding reliance on external aid and investment. However, analysts note the renewed emphasis could also be a strategic signal to potential backers - a message that a revitalized Future Movement, under his leadership, could be a more reliable partner in implementing necessary reforms.
The timing of these comments is particularly significant. Lebanon is grappling with a protracted economic crisis, marked by hyperinflation, currency devaluation, and widespread poverty. The political system remains paralyzed by sectarian divisions and a lack of consensus on essential reforms. Parliamentary elections are on the horizon, and the political maneuvering is already intensifying. Hariri's re-emergence into this environment is therefore seen by many as a calculated move to reclaim a central role in shaping Lebanon's future.
While Hariri has not explicitly announced his intention to contest any specific office, the increased engagement is seen as preparatory. The Future Movement, historically a powerful political force representing the Sunni Muslim community, has been weakened by Hariri's withdrawal and internal divisions. Rebuilding the party and regaining its former influence will be a significant undertaking, requiring skillful navigation of the complex political terrain.
Political analysts are already debating the potential impact of Hariri's return on the upcoming elections. Some predict a significant realignment of political forces. The current power structure is dominated by Hezbollah and its allies, but a resurgent Future Movement could offer a viable alternative for voters disillusioned with the existing political establishment. This could lead to a more competitive election and potentially shift the balance of power in parliament.
However, Hariri's influence is far from guaranteed. He faces several challenges. Bridging the divisions within the Future Movement will be paramount. The party has been fractured by disagreements over strategy and leadership, and uniting these disparate factions will require considerable effort. Furthermore, he will need to forge alliances with other political factions, a difficult task given the deep-seated mistrust and rivalry that characterize Lebanese politics.
The broader Lebanese political landscape remains exceptionally turbulent. The economic situation continues to deteriorate, with no immediate end in sight. International pressure on Lebanon to implement reforms is mounting. The Syrian crisis continues to cast a long shadow, and the threat of regional instability looms large. All these factors will significantly impact the upcoming elections and the political maneuvering that precedes them.
Moreover, the Future Movement's base of support has arguably shifted. Younger generations, particularly those who participated in the 2019 protests, may be skeptical of traditional political figures, including Hariri. Appealing to these voters will require a demonstrable commitment to genuine change and a willingness to address the root causes of Lebanon's problems. Whether Hariri can convincingly position himself as a champion of reform remains to be seen.
Ultimately, Hariri's potential return represents a significant development in Lebanese politics. It introduces a new dynamic into an already complex and volatile environment. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether he can effectively rebuild his political base, forge strategic alliances, and ultimately play a meaningful role in shaping Lebanon's future.
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