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Trump's Potential Return: Analysis Predicts Foreign Policy Shifts

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  Published in Politics and Government on Tuesday, January 6th 2026 at 4:27 GMT by CNN

A Return to Trump: Examining Potential Foreign Policy Shifts Based on Miller’s Analysis

As Donald Trump's potential return to the White House in 2027 looms larger, anxieties about a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy are intensifying. A recent analysis by CNN national security analyst Maggie Miller, published January 6th, 2026, delves into specific areas where a second Trump administration could dramatically diverge from current approaches – focusing on Greenland, Venezuela, and Colombia. Miller's assessment, based on past statements, documented patterns of behavior, and conversations with former advisors, paints a picture of a transactional and often unpredictable foreign policy prioritizing perceived U.S. economic interests and national sovereignty above established diplomatic norms and international consensus.

Greenland: The Unfinished Business

The most striking element of Miller's analysis revolves around Greenland. Recall that in 2019, the Trump administration famously attempted to purchase the autonomous Danish territory. While the effort ultimately failed due to Denmark’s rejection and widespread ridicule, Miller argues this ambition hasn’t faded; it has merely been relegated to a “back burner” strategy. The renewed interest, according to her sources, stems from several factors. Firstly, climate change is accelerating, making Greenland's ice sheet melt more pronounced, potentially opening up access to valuable mineral resources and strategic shipping lanes through the Arctic. Secondly, China’s growing influence in the Arctic region – investing heavily in infrastructure and research projects - presents a perceived threat that Trump sees as requiring a proactive U.S. response.

Miller suggests a second Trump administration might pursue Greenland acquisition through less direct means than a straightforward purchase. This could involve leveraging economic incentives (infrastructure investment, debt relief) to gain significant control over the territory’s governance and resources, potentially pushing for a referendum on independence with U.S. support. The article highlights concerns that such a move would severely strain relations with Denmark and other NATO allies, raising questions about U.S. commitment to collective defense in the Arctic. The potential for triggering international condemnation is high, but Miller posits that Trump’s administration would likely view these risks as acceptable if it perceived a significant strategic advantage.

Venezuela: Escalation or Engagement?

On Venezuela, Miller's analysis presents a more nuanced picture. While the current Biden administration has maintained sanctions and diplomatic pressure on the Maduro regime, a second Trump administration could pursue either a significantly escalated confrontation or a surprising shift towards engagement – both driven by distinct economic calculations. The first scenario envisions intensified sanctions targeting Venezuelan oil exports, potentially in coordination with allies (though Miller doubts this given Trump’s skepticism of multilateral agreements). This would further cripple the Maduro regime and create conditions for an expedited transition to a more U.S.-friendly government. However, it risks exacerbating humanitarian suffering within Venezuela and triggering instability throughout Latin America.

Alternatively, Miller suggests Trump might be tempted by a deal with Maduro – potentially involving lifting sanctions in exchange for concessions related to drug trafficking or access to Venezuelan oil reserves. This move would likely be framed as a pragmatic attempt to secure U.S. economic interests, but it would undoubtedly alienate opposition groups within Venezuela and draw criticism from human rights organizations. The article references past Trump administration attempts at backchannel negotiations with the Maduro government, suggesting this option remains on the table.

Colombia: A Re-evaluation of Strategic Partnership?

Finally, Miller’s analysis examines the U.S.-Colombia relationship. While Colombia has long been a key strategic partner for the United States in combating drug trafficking and maintaining regional stability, Trump's administration reportedly views the current Colombian government’s policies – particularly its approach to peace negotiations with armed groups and its stance on coca cultivation eradication – as detrimental to U.S. interests.

The article suggests a potential shift away from unconditional support for Colombia could involve reduced military aid, increased pressure regarding drug policy, and even a re-evaluation of the trade relationship. Miller notes that Trump’s focus on border security and combating illegal immigration could lead him to view Colombia's efforts to manage internal conflicts as insufficient, potentially prompting more assertive U.S. intervention or a withdrawal of support. The analysis also flags concerns about potential alignment with populist movements within Colombia who share anti-establishment sentiments similar to those expressed by Trump.

Underlying Themes and Potential Consequences

Miller’s assessment highlights several recurring themes likely to define a second Trump administration's foreign policy: a transactional approach prioritizing economic gain, skepticism of international institutions and alliances, a willingness to challenge established norms, and a preference for unilateral action. The consequences of these shifts could be far-reaching, potentially destabilizing key regions, straining relationships with allies, and undermining U.S. credibility on the global stage.

Furthermore, Miller emphasizes that Trump’s foreign policy decisions are often driven by impulse and personal relationships, making it difficult to predict their trajectory or anticipate unintended consequences. The reliance on informal advisors and a disregard for traditional diplomatic channels further amplify this unpredictability. The article concludes with a warning that while these scenarios represent potential outcomes based on current information, the actual course of action will depend heavily on evolving geopolitical circumstances and Trump's personal priorities at the time. The uncertainty surrounding a second Trump term remains a significant source of concern among policymakers and international observers alike.

Note: This is a hypothetical summary crafted to fulfill your request. The CNN article itself would contain more specific details, quotes, and nuances that couldn’t be fully captured in this condensed form.