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Northern Stakeholders Reject Tinubu: 2027 Election Faces New Twist

2027 Election: Fresh Twist as Top Northern Stakeholders Reject Tinubu

In a significant development that could reshape Nigeria's political landscape ahead of the 2027 presidential election, a coalition of influential northern stakeholders has openly rejected President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, signaling potential fractures in the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and broader national alliances. This rejection stems from growing discontent over the administration's policies, which critics argue have disproportionately affected the northern region, exacerbating economic hardships, insecurity, and feelings of marginalization. The move highlights the volatile nature of Nigerian politics, where regional interests often clash with national ambitions, and it underscores the challenges Tinubu faces in consolidating support beyond his southwestern base.

The northern stakeholders, comprising prominent politicians, traditional leaders, business tycoons, and religious figures, gathered in a high-level meeting in Kaduna to voice their grievances. Sources close to the discussions revealed that the group, which includes former governors, senators, and influential emirs, expressed frustration with what they perceive as the Tinubu administration's failure to address key issues plaguing the North. Chief among these is the escalating cost of living crisis, fueled by the removal of fuel subsidies and the floating of the naira, policies implemented shortly after Tinubu's inauguration in May 2023. These measures, while aimed at long-term economic stability, have led to skyrocketing inflation, with food prices soaring by over 30% in many northern states. Stakeholders argue that the North, already grappling with poverty rates exceeding 70% in some areas, has borne the brunt of these reforms without adequate compensatory measures.

One of the key figures leading the charge is a former Kano State governor, whose influence in the region remains formidable. In statements echoed by others, he accused the administration of neglecting the North's security challenges, pointing to the persistent banditry, kidnappings, and farmer-herder conflicts that have displaced millions and crippled agriculture—the backbone of the northern economy. "The promises made during the campaigns have turned to dust," he reportedly said, emphasizing how the North's massive voter turnout in 2023 helped propel Tinubu to victory, only for the region to feel sidelined in policy decisions. This sentiment is not isolated; it resonates with broader northern narratives of historical underrepresentation, dating back to the power shifts post-1999 return to democracy.

The rejection also touches on political appointments and resource allocation. Critics within the group highlighted the perceived imbalance in federal appointments, with key positions in security, finance, and infrastructure allegedly favoring southern interests. For instance, the handling of major infrastructure projects, such as the Lagos-Calabar coastal highway, has been cited as evidence of regional favoritism, while northern roads and rail links remain underdeveloped. This has fueled accusations of a "Yoruba-centric" agenda, given Tinubu's ethnic background, further alienating northern elites who feel their loyalty during the election has not been reciprocated.

Adding to the intrigue is the role of former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, a perennial northern contender and Tinubu's rival in the 2023 polls. While not directly involved in the Kaduna meeting, Atiku's allies were reportedly present, suggesting a possible realignment. Atiku, who hails from Adamawa State, has been vocal about the administration's shortcomings, and this development could bolster his prospects for another run in 2027. Speculation is rife that the northern stakeholders might rally behind a unified candidate, potentially from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) or even a new coalition, to challenge Tinubu's re-election bid. This echoes the 2015 scenario when northern support shifted from Goodluck Jonathan to Muhammadu Buhari, leading to a historic power change.

The implications for the APC are profound. Tinubu's victory in 2023 was built on a delicate north-south alliance, with northern governors like those from Kano and Kaduna playing pivotal roles in mobilizing votes. However, recent events, including protests against economic policies and internal party squabbles, have strained these ties. Party insiders fear that without swift reconciliation, the APC could face a repeat of the divisions that plagued it in previous cycles. Efforts to mend fences have already begun, with Tinubu's aides reportedly reaching out to northern leaders for dialogue. Yet, the stakeholders' rejection appears resolute, with some demanding concrete actions such as increased federal funding for northern development programs and a reevaluation of economic policies to include subsidies for vulnerable populations.

Beyond economics and security, cultural and religious dimensions are at play. The North, predominantly Muslim, has expressed unease over policies perceived as insensitive to Islamic values, including aspects of education reforms and social welfare initiatives. Traditional rulers, who wield significant influence over grassroots voters, have warned that continued neglect could lead to widespread disillusionment, potentially manifesting in low voter turnout or shifts to opposition parties. This is particularly critical in states like Kano, Katsina, and Sokoto, which boast some of the largest electoral populations in the country.

Analysts view this as a "fresh twist" in the run-up to 2027, potentially forcing Tinubu to pivot his strategy. The president, known for his political astuteness, might intensify outreach through visits to northern states, policy adjustments, or even cabinet reshuffles to include more northern representation. However, skepticism abounds; previous administrations have made similar overtures without lasting impact. The situation also raises questions about Vice President Kashim Shettima's role, a northerner from Borno State, whose influence has been questioned amid these tensions.

In the broader context of Nigerian democracy, this rejection underscores the fragility of national unity in a federation marked by ethnic and regional fault lines. The 2023 election, marred by controversies over electronic voting and judicial interventions, already exposed these divides. As 2027 approaches, the northern stakeholders' stance could catalyze a realignment, with possibilities of mega-mergers between parties or the emergence of third-force candidates. For Tinubu, who campaigned on a platform of "Renewed Hope," restoring faith in the North will be crucial to avoiding a one-term presidency.

The Kaduna meeting concluded with a communique outlining demands, including immediate interventions in agriculture, security enhancements through community policing, and equitable distribution of national resources. While not explicitly endorsing any candidate, the group hinted at forming a "Northern Political Forum" to safeguard regional interests, potentially influencing primaries and alliances. This body could serve as a kingmaker, much like the Arewa Consultative Forum in past elections.

Reactions from other quarters have been mixed. Southern commentators have dismissed the rejection as "regional blackmail," arguing that national policies should transcend sectional interests. Meanwhile, opposition figures have seized the opportunity to criticize Tinubu's leadership style as aloof and disconnected from the masses. Social media has amplified these voices, with hashtags like #NorthRejectsTinubu trending, reflecting youth frustration in urban centers like Abuja and Kano.

As Nigeria navigates this political turbulence, the coming months will be telling. Will Tinubu's administration bridge the divide through targeted reforms, or will the northern rejection snowball into a broader anti-incumbency wave? The stakes are high, not just for the APC but for the stability of Africa's most populous nation. With economic indicators showing mixed results—GDP growth at around 3% but unemployment hovering at 33%—the pressure is on to deliver tangible improvements. For now, the northern stakeholders' bold stance has injected uncertainty into the 2027 race, reminding all players that in Nigerian politics, alliances are fluid, and regional power remains a decisive force. This development serves as a wake-up call, emphasizing the need for inclusive governance to sustain democratic progress.

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