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Liberal Government Faces Second Confidence Vote Amid Conservative Turmoil

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  Published in Politics and Government on Friday, November 7th 2025 at 12:52 GMT by Toronto Star
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Liberal government faces second confidence vote amid Conservative caucus turmoil

Toronto — The Liberal government, led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, entered the House of Commons today to defend its mandate in what could be the most consequential confidence vote in recent Canadian history. The vote follows a tumultuous period for the Conservative Party of Canada, whose fractured caucus has left the opposition split over whether it will unite behind a motion of no confidence. If the Liberals lose the vote, the minority government may be forced to resign or call a snap election, while a win would reinforce Trudeau’s fragile hold on power.

A second test for the Liberals

The confidence motion on the floor today centers on the government’s revised foreign‑aid policy, which cuts a significant portion of the $5.6 billion annual contribution earmarked for international development. The policy, announced in the federal budget earlier this year, has drawn sharp criticism from opposition parties and civil‑society groups alike. Last week, the opposition, spearheaded by the Conservative Party, introduced a motion of no confidence that would trigger a vote of confidence on the foreign‑aid package. While the motion was initially stalled, the Liberal government’s recent decision to amend the package – moving the cut from a 2025 budget to a 2026 fiscal year – reignited the opposition’s campaign. The motion has now progressed to the next stage, and the House is slated to vote tomorrow.

Trudeau has defended the policy as a “necessary adjustment” to the country’s budgetary constraints, arguing that the funds will be re‑allocated to domestic priorities. “Canada must balance its responsibilities at home and abroad,” he said in a statement released to the press. “We are making tough choices to ensure long‑term fiscal sustainability while still supporting global development.”

Conservative caucus in turmoil

The opposition’s confidence motion is being pursued by a Conservative caucus that has been in crisis since the party’s narrow defeat in the 2021 federal election. In a rare show of unity, the party’s leadership and most senior members had publicly backed the motion. However, behind the scenes, the caucus remains sharply divided between two factions.

On one side are the “O’Toole loyalists,” a group of MPs who remain faithful to former leader Erin O’Toole and who have called for a more cautious approach to undermining the Liberal government. On the other side are the “Bergen supporters,” who rally behind newly appointed leader Candice Bergen and who are keen to use the confidence vote to signal a decisive break from the Liberals. The split has been further inflamed by a series of resignations from the party’s parliamentary caucus, as well as accusations of back‑room deals that have left many MPs unsure of whom to support.

The tension has led to a series of heated exchanges in the House. During the debate yesterday, Conservative MP Richard Colley – a vocal critic of the party’s leadership – urged the opposition to “stick together or lose the country’s confidence.” In contrast, MP Sarah Harper, a Bergen ally, warned that “any move to unify the opposition now would be a step toward a new era of progressive governance, not a step toward the old Conservative establishment.” The House’s procedural committee ultimately allowed the motion to advance to the next stage, citing the need for “conclusive parliamentary procedure.”

Implications for Canadian politics

The confidence vote is not only a test of the Liberals’ popularity but also a litmus test for the stability of the country’s parliamentary system. Should the Liberals lose the vote, they would be required to resign or face an election. Alternatively, a Liberal win could embolden the government to push through other controversial policy changes, such as a planned overhaul of the Canada‑US trade agreement.

For the Conservative Party, the outcome will have far‑reaching consequences. A victory for the opposition would reinforce the perception that the party is poised to return to power, while a defeat would highlight the party’s fractured state. In either scenario, the party will be forced to address its internal divisions before it can present itself as a credible governing force.

Further reading

The article on the first confidence vote that triggered this current crisis can be found on The Star under the headline “Liberals survive first confidence test as Conservatives split.” In that piece, the policy at the heart of the motion – the Canada‑United States‑Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) renegotiation – was the focus. For a deeper look into the Conservative caucus turmoil, see the National Post piece “Conservative caucus crisis: Who’s in the lead?” which details the internal power struggle between O’Toole and Bergen supporters.

In the coming days, all eyes will be on the House of Commons to see whether the Liberals can weather this second confidence test or whether Canada will be thrust into a new election under a climate of uncertainty and partisan divide.