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Newsom Eyes 2028 Third-Party Bid, Says Analyst

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  Published in Politics and Government on Saturday, January 31st 2026 at 23:15 GMT by Associated Press
      Locales: California, Hawaii, UNITED STATES

WASHINGTON (February 1, 2026) - The political landscape is buzzing with speculation surrounding California Governor Gavin Newsom's potential presidential ambitions for 2028. Recent commentary from CNN analyst Josh Green has amplified those whispers, suggesting Newsom is "absolutely" considering a third-party bid, fueled by a deep dissatisfaction with the current trajectory of both the Republican and Democratic parties. While still unconfirmed, the possibility of Newsom entering the race as an independent candidate is sending ripples through the established political order, prompting discussion about the viability of breaking the decades-long dominance of the two-party system.

Green, who also serves as editor of Honolulu Civil Beat, articulated this assessment during a recent appearance on CNN's "State of the Union." He highlighted Newsom's genuine frustration with the intense polarization and perceived extremism gripping American politics. According to Green, Newsom envisions a markedly different style of political leadership - one that moves beyond the entrenched ideological battles and focuses on practical solutions. This vision, coupled with Newsom's increasing public criticism of both former President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden, paints a picture of a leader actively seeking an alternative path.

Newsom's actions over the past several months have only intensified the speculation. He hasn't merely offered critical commentary; he's taken concrete steps that appear to lay the foundation for a potential campaign. Most notably, Newsom spearheaded a series of forums designed to explore potential alternative candidates - a move widely interpreted as a way to gauge support and test the waters for his own candidacy. These forums brought together a diverse range of political thinkers and strategists, fostering a dialogue about the challenges facing the nation and the possibility of a new political alignment.

While the governor's office has remained officially tight-lipped regarding Green's claims, the lack of a direct denial speaks volumes. The strategic ambiguity allows Newsom to continue positioning himself as a potential alternative without prematurely committing to a course of action that could alienate key constituencies.

The Appeal of a Moderate Third-Party Candidate

The potential appeal of a Newsom candidacy lies in the growing number of voters who identify as politically independent or moderate. These voters, often feeling unrepresented by the increasingly polarized platforms of the Republican and Democratic parties, are actively seeking a viable alternative. Recent polling data suggests a significant segment of the electorate feels disillusioned with both major parties, perceiving them as out of touch with the concerns of everyday Americans. A charismatic and experienced governor like Newsom, presenting a platform focused on pragmatic solutions rather than ideological purity, could effectively capture this crucial voting bloc.

However, the path to victory for a third-party candidate remains exceptionally challenging. The United States' electoral system, with its winner-take-all structure, inherently favors the two major parties. Overcoming this systemic hurdle requires significant financial resources, a robust organizational infrastructure, and a compelling message that resonates with a broad range of voters. Furthermore, a third-party candidate must avoid becoming a "spoiler," inadvertently helping to elect the candidate they oppose most.

Historical Precedents and the Road Ahead

Throughout American history, numerous third-party candidates have emerged, often with limited success. Theodore Roosevelt's 1912 run as a Progressive, and Ross Perot's 1992 independent bid, are notable examples of third-party challenges that garnered significant attention but ultimately fell short of victory. However, the current political climate - characterized by widespread dissatisfaction with the status quo and a growing sense of political alienation - may create a more fertile ground for a third-party contender.

The coming months will be critical in determining whether Newsom will ultimately launch a third-party campaign. He will need to demonstrate a clear path to fundraising, build a national organization, and articulate a compelling vision for the future. The response from voters, and the reactions of the Republican and Democratic parties, will undoubtedly shape the narrative and determine the viability of his potential bid. One thing is certain: if Newsom does decide to run, the 2028 presidential election will be unlike any seen in recent history, potentially reshaping the American political landscape for years to come.