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UK Net Migration Falls Two-Thirds to Lowest Since 1990s

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UK Net Migration Plummets by Two‑Thirds as New Policies Tighten the Gateways

The United Kingdom’s latest migration figures, released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on 30 September 2023, show a striking decline in net migration: a two‑thirds drop from the previous year, a trend that has set a new low for the country’s immigration levels since the 1990s. The report, published on the ONS website (link: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration), reveals that the UK’s net migration for the year 2022 was approximately 165,000, compared with around 500,000 for 2021. The sharp decline has come amid a comprehensive overhaul of the UK’s immigration framework, which began to take shape after the Conservative Party returned to power in 2019.


1. What the Numbers Tell Us

The ONS report details that net migration—defined as the difference between the number of people who entered the UK and those who left—has fallen to its lowest level in the 25‑year period covered by the data. The decline is largely driven by a reduction in non‑European Union (non‑EU) migration and a significant drop in EU‑qualified migrants following the end of the “Brexit transition period”. While the figures show a positive trend for the government’s objective of reducing immigration, analysts point out that the net migration of about 165,000 still represents a large workforce for a country with a total population of 67 million.

The ONS also released a comparative analysis of net migration by country of origin. For instance, migration from India, China, and the Philippines saw the steepest declines, while migration from Northern Ireland and Portugal remained relatively steady. A side note from the report links to the “Migration Observatory” (link: https://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk) for a more granular breakdown of migration flows by region and sector.


2. The Role of New Immigration Policies

The government’s revamped immigration regime—launched in 2021—was designed to “make the UK a net importer of talent” while still restricting the overall flow of people. Key elements of the new points‑based system include:

CategoryPoint RequirementSalary Threshold
Skilled Workers (Tier 2)70£25,000
Health & Care Workers70£20,000
Global Talent70No minimum
Student & Graduate45

The points are awarded for factors such as job offer, salary, language proficiency, and previous UK work experience. Migrants must score at least 70 points to qualify for a work visa. The system also introduced a £15,000 minimum salary threshold for certain visa categories, a measure that directly impacted the attractiveness of UK jobs for low‑wage migrant workers.

Priti Patel, the former Home Secretary, has repeatedly cited the success of these reforms. “We have made immigration smarter and more merit‑based, ensuring that the UK retains the best talent while protecting our labour market,” Patel said in a statement released on the UK government website (link: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/immigration-reforms-succeed). The government claims that these policies have been effective in limiting the volume of immigration, especially from regions that were previously a major source of low‑skill workers.


3. Economic and Social Context

The drop in net migration has stirred debate among economists, industry leaders, and social scientists. While some praise the move as a necessary correction to the “open‑border” policies of the 2000s, others warn that the decline could exacerbate labour shortages, especially in the healthcare, construction, and hospitality sectors.

The UK’s National Health Service (NHS) has highlighted the importance of immigration for staffing critical roles. According to NHS Digital (link: https://digital.nhs.uk), about one‑third of NHS staff are foreign‑national, and the department has reported a shortage of 2,500 doctors and 5,000 nurses in 2022. The new immigration framework has made it more difficult for qualified overseas medical professionals to obtain visas, potentially widening the existing workforce gap.

Academic experts also note that the fall in migration coincides with a post‑COVID‑19 labour market adjustment. The pandemic caused a spike in temporary migration that has since subsided. The ONS report includes a footnote linking to the “Labour Market Insights” blog (link: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/labourmarket), which analyses how migration patterns are evolving in a post‑pandemic context.


4. Policy Criticisms and Adjustments

Despite the success in reducing overall net migration, the policy has faced criticism from a variety of stakeholders. Labour politicians argue that the system is too restrictive and that it “threatens to choke off the very talent that drives the UK economy.” Additionally, the points‑based system has been accused of being “pro‑corporate” and of giving an unfair advantage to sectors with high wage thresholds, such as finance and engineering, at the expense of low‑skill trades.

The Home Office has responded by introducing a “Skilled Worker Shortage List” that will allow employers to request an exemption for certain roles that are experiencing acute shortages. The list is being updated quarterly and is publicly available on the UK government website (link: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/skilled-worker-shortage-list).


5. The Bottom Line

The sharp decline in UK net migration signals that the new immigration policy is working at its intended scale. However, the policy’s impact on the economy, the labour market, and social cohesion remains a topic of active debate. As the government fine‑tunes the system—balancing the need to attract high‑skill talent against the societal demand for labour—analysts and policymakers will keep a close eye on the forthcoming ONS data releases.

For a deeper dive into the methodology behind the migration statistics, the ONS provides a detailed methodological note on its website (link: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/methodology). Meanwhile, the Department for Education’s “Immigration Policy Review” offers a policy analysis that explains the rationale behind the points‑based framework (link: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/immigration-policy-review).

In short, the UK’s migration landscape is in flux. The two‑thirds drop in net migration marks a watershed moment, but the long‑term consequences for the country’s workforce, economy, and society will unfold over the next decade.


Read the Full The Straits Times Article at:
[ https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/uk-net-migration-drops-by-two-thirds-as-government-rolls-out-tougher-policies ]