Sat, November 30, 2024

by: Brian Stokes

How an Astrophysicist Became the Most Accurate Political Forecaster in Canada

by: Brian Stokes

The Senate's New Farm Bill Would Prioritize Climate. Too Bad It's Doomed.

On Monday, Senator Debbie Stabenow, a longtime champion of programs that support farmers and increase access to nutritious foods, introduced a new version of the farm bill, a key piece of legislation typically renewed every five years that governs much of how the agricultural industry in the US operates.

by: Brian Stokes

Only Raj and Uddhav can decide on joining hands: Shiv Sena (UBT) leader

Only the estranged Thackeray cousins- Uddhav and Raj- can decide if they want to join hands, Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Ambadas Danve said on Saturday.

by: Brian Stokes

Disinformation Transformed Miami Politics. This Radio Station Is One Reason Why.

Radio Mambí birthed Cuban politics in south Florida. Now it's a platform for Trumpism — even though it's owned by Democrats.

by: Brian Stokes

2 Government Employee Terminated In Jammu & Kashmir For Links To Hezbollah

Madhavan salutes Ajith Kumar as Thala returns to racing tracks: 'He just goes after his dreams, no matter what' Back in India!! 🇮🇳 INDIAN SEAFOOD HEAVEN + Ultimate Food Tour in Mangalore! Dates for weight loss: 8 ways it can help you get back in shape

by: Brian Stokes

George Washington first again with ornament of Houdon statue

The Virginia Capitol Foundation's Christmas ornament features George Washington, rendered in the marble statue French sculptor Jean-Antoine Houdon created from direct measurements he took from the future first president.

by: Brian Stokes

Trump disavowed Project 2025. Now he's hiring its contributors for his administration

Donald Trump distanced himself from the conservative Project 2025 playbook throughout his campaign. Now, he is tapping its contributors to lead his government.

by: Brian Stokes

Prime Minister Trudeau meets Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau landed in West Palm Beach, Fla., on Friday evening to meet with U.S.-president elect Donald Trump at Mar-a-Lago, sources confirm to CTV News.

by: Brian Stokes

Louise Haigh resigns as transport secretary over stolen phone fraud offence

Louise Haigh has become the first minister to quit Sir Keir Starmer's government in a blow to the prime minister. The transport secretary has written to Sir Keir tendering her resignation as transport secretary after admitting she pleaded guilty to fraud over a mobile phone claim 10 years ago.

by: Brian Stokes

Democrats Weigh Dumping Nadler, Regrouping to Counter Trump

Some House Democrats want to oust aging committee leaders like Representative Jerrold Nadler in favor of younger lawmakers who they see as better suited to take on the president.

by: Brian Stokes

Kamala Harris for president in '28? How about Gavin Newsom? Who are the early front-runners?

Harris has won five statewide races — in 2010 and 2014 for attorney general, in 2016 for U.S. senator and as vice president on Biden's ticket in 2020 and 2024. She trounced Trump, 58% to 38%, in this year's election.

by: Brian Stokes

Virginia: Solar, data centers, carbon top environmentalists' lists for session

Solar farms, data centers and carbon dioxide are on track to dominate General Assembly discussions on the environment in the 2025 session.

by: Brian Stokes

Many in Louisiana think flood insurance is broken. But what can be done about it?

In October, Cassidy distributed a report to his colleagues called "The Flood Insurance Crisis: A Comprehensive Breakdown of Rising Flood Insurance Premiums," that found NFIP premiums in Louisiana have increased by 234% over the past three years, resulting in 52,000 residents dropping their policies.

by: Brian Stokes

Prime Minister Trudeau's plane lands near Trump's Mar-a-Lago estate

by: Brian Stokes

Trudeau lands in Palm Beach, Fla. to meet with president-elect Trump, sources say

An official said the conversation between the leaders was wide-ranging, including trade, border security, fentanyl, NATO and Ukraine

by: Brian Stokes

Sambhal violence: Samajwadi Party calls for 'truth-based investigation'

Further talking about the party's delegation he said that they do not wish to deteriorate the tense situation in the area, and if the district administration have a problem with the delegation

by: Brian Stokes

Irish party leader gives birth on election day

The leader of Ireland's opposition Social Democrats party has given birth on the day of voting in the country's general election.

by: Brian Stokes

Understanding the EFF's defections: impacts on MK Party and South African politics

Explore the implications of the EFF's recent defections to the MK Party and how this shift is reshaping South African politics.

by: Brian Stokes

Besigye's arrest and the tragedy of our politics

by: Brian Stokes

Maharashtra Government Formation Delayed For Next Week Due To Political Turmoil

Maharashtra politics is in a state of Nux which may delay the formation of the new government until next week. The meeting in New Delhi between caretaker Chief Minister Eknath Shinde, BJP leader Devendra Fadnavis and NCP's Ajit Pawar — steered by Union Home Minister Amit Shah -- was intended to iron out the nitty-gritty of the power-sharing

by: Brian Stokes

'We've have had enough of Starmer's lies' warns farming leader ahead of London showdown

EXCLUSIVE: Liz Webster says many farmers will likely end up selling their land if the situation does not improve.

by: Brian Stokes

Ottawa to announce border-security measures in coming weeks, says senior official

Deputy Prime Minister Chrystia Freeland and Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc said Wednesday that Ottawa is prepared to pump more money into the Canada Border Services Agency (CBSA) and the Royal Canadian Mounted Police.

by: Brian Stokes

Maharashtra CM news live: Shiv Sena hints at major decision today

Speculation continues over the the decision over Maharashtra chief minister and the formation of the Maharashtra government nearly a week after the Maharashtra election results, with Mahayuti alliance leaders holding multiple meetings in Mumbai and Delhi.

by: Brian Stokes

Why Victoria's privacy chief is so worried about facial-recognition technology

Gaming venues and retail are increasingly using off-the-shelf facial-recognition software, sparking high-level concern about potential risks of privacy and data security breaches.

by: Brian Stokes

New European Commission takes hold in a polarised EU

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and her new commission won a clear majority in Strasbourg on Wednesday but rarely has the political mood in the chamber felt so fractious, writes Ton

by: Brian Stokes

'An existential issue': Property speculation threatening Victoria's food bowl

Farmers and government MPs want stronger protection for prime land on the outskirts of Melbourne, Geelong, Bendigo and Ballarat, but are voluntary legal contracts enough?

by: Brian Stokes

Election 2024 live updates: Exit poll shows tight race between main three parties as counting to begin at 9am

If the exit poll findings are borne out when the votes are counted, it suggests a return of a coalition based around Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael is likely

by: Brian Stokes

Maharashtra government formation LIVE updates: Eknath Shinde is being sidelined, claims Shiv Sena leader

Oath-taking ceremony of the new Chief Minister of Maharashtra would likely be held on December 5 at Azad Maidan. Follow The Hindu for more updates.

by: Brian Stokes

Politics latest: First Starmer cabinet member quits amid scandal; MPs to debate assisted dying

Louise Haigh has quit as transport secretary after Sky News revealed she pleaded guilty to an offence connected with incorrectly telling police that a work mobile phone was stolen in 2013. Meanwhile,

by: Brian Stokes

The general election campaign: the highs, the lows, and the outright clangers

Fri, November 29, 2024

by: Brian Stokes

Deuba and Thapa are now working closely. How long will the bonhomie last?

Some say Thapa seeks Deuba's backing to lead the party. Others aren't too sure as they doubt their bond will last long.

by: Brian Stokes

Brooks and Capehart on the dismissal of Trump's federal cases

With the dismissal of the two federal cases against him, President-elect Donald Trump has bypassed some of the most serious legal jeopardy he faced. He's now assembling a Cabinet to carry out his agenda.

by: Brian Stokes

An influx of outsiders and money turns Montana Republican, culminating in a Senate triumph

BILLINGS — Democrats' crushing loss in Montana's nationally important U.S. Senate race settled a fierce political debate over whether a surge of newcomers in the past decade favored Republicans — and if one of the new arrivals could even take high office.

by: Brian Stokes

Trudeau in Florida to meet with Donald Trump in wake of tariff threat

by: Brian Stokes

What to know about sudden rebel gains in Syria's 13-year war and why it matters

by: Brian Stokes

Bureaucratic blockade: SLDC charges steep fines to show public records, concealing conflicts of interest

In a stark display of governmental opacity, the St. Louis Development Corporation (SLDC) has systematically obstructed media efforts to access routine conflict of interest documents, directly contradicting its chairman's repeated public pledges of transparency.

by: Brian Stokes

UK Prime Minister Threatened To Arrest Those Calling for New Election?

X owner Elon Musk amplified a post about the petition, writing "The people of Britain have had enough of a tyrannical police state."

by: Brian Stokes

Musk joins Trump and family for Thanksgiving at Mar-a-Lago

Tesla CEO Elon Musk had a seat at the family table for Thanksgiving dinner at Mar-a-Lago, joining President-elect Donald Trump, Melania Trump and their 18-year-old son Barron, in the latest indicator of Trump's growing bond with the world's richest man.

by: Brian Stokes

APC Members Reject PDP Defectors in Ondo, Give Reason

Some All Progressives Congress (APC) members have rejected the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) members who defected to the ruling party in Ondo state.

by: Brian Stokes

Government plane that usually carries Trudeau appears headed for Palm Beach, Florida

by: Brian Stokes

Oregon State Rep. Pam Marsh has been appointed to a House leadership role

The other two assistant majority leaders are Representative Annessa Hartman, a Democrat from Gladstone, Oregon City and North Clackamas County who will focus on politics, and Representative Hai Pham, a Democrat from South Hillsboro and West Beaverton who will focus on professional development.

by: Brian Stokes

Retired Texas teachers could see a bump in Social Security payments under proposal in Congress

About 300,000 retired Texas educators, police officers and firefighters would see an extra $360 per month under a tweak to Social Security passed in Congress.

by: Brian Stokes

Once The Playground Of The Rich, Wyoming's Ranch A Makes A Comeback

Ranch A, located just south of Beulah, was founded by media mogul Moses Annenberg and became the center for the rich and elite. Years of opulence

by: Brian Stokes

Shattered and betrayed by Albanese's political moves

The shelving of legislation to create Australia's first national environmental protection agency whilst also determined to pass election funding reforms shows just how self-serving Anthony Albanese is ("Albanese intervenes to scupper Plibersek's negotiations with the Greens",

by: Brian Stokes

Liberals and NDP pass bill to enact 2-month GST break from December 14 to February 15

by: Brian Stokes

URA gives $33,411 loan to 40 E. Broadway, in part to pay off debts

Butte's Uptown taxing district is lending owners of the old NorthWestern Energy complex $33,411, in part to pay off debts to local contractor.

by: Brian Stokes

The outlook is uncertain for AI regulations as the U.S. government pivots to full Republican control

Musk used X, the social media platform he owns, to promote AI-generated images and videos throughout the election. Operatives from Americans for Responsible Innovation, a nonprofit focused on artificial intelligence, have publicly been pushing Trump to tap Musk as his top adviser on the technology.

by: Brian Stokes

Both Republicans and Democrats are optimistic about WA's 2024 election results. Here's why

How an Astrophysicist Became the Most Accurate Political Forecaster in Canada

B y day, Philippe J. Fournier teaches physics and astronomy at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. His evenings and weekends, however, are devoted to a very different kind of expertise—election modelling.

The article from The Walrus discusses how Canadian astrophysicist Philip Lagassé, known for his work in political science, has become one of Canada's most accurate political forecasters. Lagassé, who initially pursued astrophysics, transitioned into political science after realizing his passion for understanding political systems. His unique approach combines quantitative analysis with qualitative insights, allowing him to predict election outcomes with remarkable precision. His forecasting model, which he developed over years, integrates historical voting patterns, current polls, and socio-economic factors. Lagassé's success is attributed to his meticulous attention to detail, his interdisciplinary background, and his ability to adapt his models to the nuances of Canadian politics. His work has not only earned him recognition but also highlighted the potential of applying scientific methods to the unpredictability of political events.

Read the Full The Walrus Article at:
https://thewalrus.ca/how-an-astrophysicist-became-the-most-accurate-political-forecaster-in-canada/