• Tue, July 28, 2026
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Ortega's Institutional Capture and the Consolidation of Absolute Power

The Ortega-Murillo regime uses institutional capture to maintain power, prompting international efforts to prosecute crimes against humanity via the ICC.

The Consolidation of Absolute Power

The regime's strategy has evolved from the suppression of protests to a comprehensive campaign of institutional capture. By installing loyalists across the judiciary, the electoral council, and the military, Ortega has ensured that there is no internal legal check on his authority. This "institutionalization" of the dictatorship allows the regime to maintain a veneer of legality while executing actions that are fundamentally antithetical to the rule of law.

Political dissidents, journalists, and members of civil society have been targeted through a process of legal erasure. This includes the stripping of citizenship and the forced exile of hundreds of individuals, effectively rendering them stateless and unable to return to their homeland. The use of "treason" and "terrorism" charges has become the standard tool for neutralizing anyone capable of organizing a coherent opposition.

With internal avenues for justice completely blocked, the focus has shifted toward international mechanisms of accountability. A critical component of this effort involves the strategic push to bring the Ortega-Murillo regime before the International Criminal Court (ICC). The legal frameworks and arguments highlighted by experts, including those associated with the De Petris approach, emphasize the concept of "crimes against humanity."

The core of this legal argument rests on the evidence that the state's violence is not incidental or sporadic, but rather a systematic and widespread attack directed against a civilian population. By documenting the patterns of arbitrary detention, torture, and systemic persecution, legal strategists aim to bypass the immunity granted to the regime by Nicaragua's own captured courts.

The challenge remains the jurisdictional hurdles and the slow pace of international justice. However, the pursuit of an ICC investigation serves two primary functions: it creates a permanent legal record of the regime's atrocities and it signals to the perpetrators that their impunity is not infinite, regardless of their current domestic grip on power.

The Erosion of Civil Society

Beyond the political sphere, the dictatorship has expanded its reach into the spiritual and social fabric of the country. The persecution of the Catholic Church—long a pillar of Nicaraguan society—illustrates the regime's intolerance for any entity that maintains an independent moral or social authority. The exile of bishops and the harassment of priests demonstrate that the regime views the church not as a religious body, but as a potential site of resistance.

Similarly, the systemic closure of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) has left the population without essential social services and human rights protections. By labeling NGOs as "foreign agents" or threats to national security, the regime has successfully isolated the citizenry from external support networks.

Conclusion: The Tension of a Closed State

Nicaragua now stands as a fortress of autocracy in a region that has fluctuated between democratic aspiration and authoritarian relapse. The tension lies between the regime's total control over the physical territory and the growing body of international legal evidence against it. While the immediate prospects for internal democratic restoration remain bleak, the efforts to formalize charges of crimes against humanity represent the only remaining viable path toward accountability. The struggle is no longer just about political transition, but about the fundamental survival of the rule of law within the borders of Nicaragua.


Read the Full Chicago Tribune Article at:
https://www.chicagotribune.com/2026/07/28/column-nicaragua-dictatorship-daniel-ortega-depetris/

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