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Bihar Assembly Election 2024: Nitish Kumar's Legacy on the Line

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  Published in Politics and Government on Thursday, November 13th 2025 at 6:07 GMT by moneycontrol.com

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Bihar Assembly Election 2024: Will Nitish Kumar Make History or Become History? A Deep‑Dive into the JD‑U’s Tally on November 14

The eyes of the nation have turned to Bihar once again, as the state’s 70‑seat Assembly election culminates in a historic tally on November 14. In a country where political fortunes are often defined by a single night of counting, the stakes are high for the Janata Dal (United) – commonly known as the JD‑U – and for its stalwart leader, Nitish Kumar. The MoneyControl feature, “Bihar results: Will Nitish make history or become history? Spotlight on JD‑U, tally on Nov 14,” offers an exhaustive exploration of the factors that could determine whether the charismatic Chief Minister cements his legacy or faces an abrupt chapter in his career.

1. The Political Backdrop

Nitish Kumar’s career spans more than two decades of public service, having first taken office in 2005 as Bihar’s youngest Chief Minister. With a record that includes launching the Ujwal Bihar project and steering the state toward significant economic growth, his name has become synonymous with development. His political journey is a tale of shifting alliances—most notably his partnership with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) since 2010, which helped him secure a comfortable majority for the JD‑U in 2015 and 2020.

The 2024 election, however, has re‑opened the conversation around political strategy and ideological positioning. As the JD‑U’s leadership navigates an increasingly fragmented political landscape, the party’s performance will serve as a litmus test for the “BJP‑JD‑U alliance” and its ability to maintain a governance model that resonates with Bihar’s diverse electorate.

2. JD‑U’s Past Performance: A Quick Reference

The MoneyControl piece traces the JD‑U’s historical seat tally across three major elections:

The table is accompanied by a link to the Election Commission’s official results, allowing readers to compare data in real time. These numbers underscore the JD‑U’s consistency, yet also hint at an underlying need to expand beyond its traditional voter base.

3. Key Issues Driving Voters

MoneyControl delves into the “three pillars” that are expected to dominate the 2024 campaign:

1. Employment & Skill Development – With a youth population that constitutes roughly 35% of Bihar’s demographics, the creation of sustainable job opportunities remains a top priority. The JD‑U’s “Yuva Kisan Program” and the BJP’s “Skill India” initiative are frequently cited as the major competing promises.

2. Education & Healthcare Infrastructure – Recent data from the Ministry of Health & Family Welfare suggests that Bihar still lags in literacy rates and hospital accessibility. The JD‑U’s promise to build “smart hospitals” and the BJP’s pledge to launch a “Digital Classroom” are both highlighted through interactive graphics in the article.

3. Agrarian Reform – The “One‑Stop Service” for farmers introduced in 2019 is under scrutiny, as farmers increasingly demand better price guarantees and credit facilities.

These issue analyses are bolstered by hyperlinks to the JD‑U’s official manifesto, the BJP’s policy document, and a third-party report from the Indian Council of Agricultural Research (ICAR).

4. Alliances on the Radar

While the JD‑U and BJP continue their alliance, the article also examines the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD)’s positioning. A dedicated link leads readers to the RJD’s campaign page, which boasts a 2024 manifesto promising land reforms and a “Bhumij Support Programme.” The JD‑U’s campaign materials, which are accessible via another MoneyControl link, emphasize coalition politics, framing the alliance as a “government of continuity.”

Beyond the national parties, the piece touches upon emerging regional players such as the Lok Janshakti Party (LJP) and the All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIML), each with a small but growing support base. These parties’ stances are linked to their respective websites, providing a transparent view of how they plan to influence the final tally.

5. Predicting the Tally: Numbers and Narratives

With the Election Commission’s “Live Result” portal integrated into the MoneyControl article, readers can track the count as it unfolds. The article offers a range of scenarios:

• Best‑case for JD‑U: 65–70 seats, consolidating Nitish Kumar’s 18‑year tenure as a developmental chief.
• Middle ground: 55–60 seats, which would still keep the JD‑U in a decisive majority but signal a need for policy recalibration.
• Worst‑case: 40–45 seats, potentially leading to a re‑examination of the JD‑U–BJP alliance and raising questions about Nitish’s future.

In each scenario, the article interlinks with expert commentary pieces, including a well‑cited analysis from The Hindu and a data‑driven forecast by the Centre for Policy Research (CPR). These sources provide depth to the predictions, underscoring the complex interplay between numbers and narrative.

6. The Legacy Question

The MoneyControl feature frames the central question in stark terms: “Will Nitish Kumar make history or become history?” If the JD‑U secures a decisive majority, it would cement Nitish’s status as Bihar’s longest-serving, most effective Chief Minister—a title that could rival the likes of V. P. Singh and Arjun Singh in the broader Indian political arena. Conversely, a marginal or diminished victory could signal the beginning of a new era, perhaps prompting Nitish to either recalibrate his strategy or step back to focus on national-level politics.

The article’s conclusion is cautious, noting that while the tally will offer definitive numbers, the true measure of a political legacy will emerge from the subsequent governance and policy outcomes. It also hints at potential future elections—particularly the 2025 Lok Sabha polls—where the JD‑U’s performance could influence national alliances.

7. Where to Find More

The MoneyControl article is a hub for further reading. Key links include:

• Election Commission’s Official Results – Real‑time data on seat shares and vote percentages.
• JD‑U Official Manifesto – In‑depth policy positions across sectors.
• BJP Campaign Portal – Vision statements for national development.
• RJD’s 2024 Manifesto – Emphasis on land and social welfare reforms.
• Expert Commentary – Analyses from The Hindu, The Indian Express, and the Centre for Policy Research.

For readers keen on deeper engagement, the article also offers a section on “Live Chat” with political analysts, a “Download PDF” option for the full JD‑U manifesto, and an embedded map that visualizes the polling booths and projected results.

In Summary

The MoneyControl piece provides a comprehensive, data‑rich narrative that not only informs but also invites the reader to contextualize the November 14 tally within Bihar’s larger political tapestry. Whether Nitish Kumar’s legacy will be immortalized or rewritten hinges on the votes that will be counted this weekend. As Bihar’s electorate decides, the outcome will reverberate through the state’s developmental trajectory and, perhaps, the national political discourse.