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Malaysia's Opposition Bloc Faces Potential Collapse

  //politics-government.news-articles.net/content/ .. -s-opposition-bloc-faces-potential-collapse.html
  Published in Politics and Government on Monday, February 16th 2026 at 5:15 GMT by The Straits Times
      Locales: Kelantan, Johor, MALAYSIA

KUALA LUMPUR - Malaysia's already fragile opposition bloc is teetering on the brink of disintegration following a series of events culminating in the highly publicized potential defection of Sheikh Oliver Abdul Rahman to the Parti Islam Se-Malaysia (PAS). This move not only threatens to fracture Pakatan Harapan (PH) further, but also directly challenges the leadership of Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin and casts a long shadow over the stability of the current Anwar Ibrahim-led government.

The catalyst for this latest crisis is the recent expulsion of Sheikh Oliver Abdul Rahman, son of the late and highly respected Salahuddin Ayub, from Parti Amanah Negara (Amanah) due to disciplinary reasons. While the specifics of those reasons remain somewhat opaque, the speed with which Mr. Oliver has publicly signaled his openness to collaborating with PAS suggests a premeditated shift in allegiance. His father, Salahuddin Ayub, was a pivotal figure known for bridging divides; his death last year left a void in the opposition landscape, and his son appears to be charting a dramatically different course.

Mr. Oliver has been actively disseminating messages across social media platforms, including videos, that explicitly express his willingness to work with PAS. This isn't simply a matter of keeping options open; it's a deliberate and public courtship of a party traditionally viewed as a key rival by Amanah and, until recently, by much of PH. Observers are increasingly speculating that Mr. Oliver's aims extend beyond mere collaboration - some suggest he's strategically positioning himself as a potential "kingmaker" or even a central figure in a newly realigned opposition force. The potential impact of such a realignment is significant, potentially reshaping the entire political landscape.

The implications for Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin, president of Parti Pribumi Bersatu Malaysia (Bersatu), are particularly concerning. Mr. Muhyiddin has been diligently attempting to build a broader, more unified opposition coalition encompassing PAS and the United Malays National Organisation (UMNO). This strategy, aimed at presenting a formidable challenge to the current government, now faces a severe setback. Internal resistance within Bersatu to fully embracing PAS was already simmering, fueled by fears that the Islamist party would dominate any alliance and marginalize Bersatu's influence. Mr. Oliver's move amplifies these concerns and threatens to unravel Mr. Muhyiddin's carefully constructed plans.

The current situation places Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim in an increasingly precarious position. While currently holding power, his government relies heavily on a delicate balance of support, including that of the opposition. Further fragmentation within the opposition ranks exponentially increases the risk of a vote of no confidence. The existing divisions following the recent state elections have already demonstrated the fragility of the ruling coalition, and Mr. Oliver's actions add fuel to the fire.

Political analysts warn that Mr. Oliver's defection may be the first of many. Dr. Wong Chin Huat of Monash University Malaysia, a leading expert on Malaysian politics, stated, "This is a deeply worrying development. It exposes the underlying weaknesses within the opposition alliance and points to a very real possibility of its complete collapse." The concern isn't merely about losing a single voice; it's about the potential domino effect, where other disgruntled or ambitious opposition figures see an opportunity to realign themselves with PAS, perceiving it as the ascendant force.

Furthermore, PAS's recent warming towards the opposition isn't entirely new. The party has been strategically expanding its reach, appealing to voters disillusioned with the traditional political establishment. A successful courtship of figures like Mr. Oliver could significantly bolster PAS's influence, potentially transforming it from a regional power to a national force capable of dictating the terms of political debate. This shift could fundamentally alter the nature of Malaysian politics, potentially ushering in a period of greater religious conservatism.

The coming weeks are crucial. All eyes are on whether other opposition members will follow Mr. Oliver's lead. The possibility of a complete restructuring of the Malaysian political landscape is no longer a distant prospect, and the implications for the country's future are profound. The delicate balance of power hangs precariously, dependent on whether Mr. Muhyiddin can salvage his grand alliance or whether PAS will emerge as the dominant force in a fractured and increasingly unpredictable political environment.