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Virginia's 77th District: A Tight Race That Could Shift the House Balance

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Virginia’s Tightest State‑House Race in the 77th District: A Snapshot of the 2024 Election

In the 2024 Virginia primary and general election cycle, the 77th House of Delegates district—centered in the southeastern part of Richmond—has become the most closely watched contest in the Commonwealth. The Richmond.com article “Virginia’s 77th: The Race That Could Decide the Legislature’s Balance” (published [ link ]) dives into every angle of the battle between incumbent Republican delegate Mike Smith and Democratic challenger Anna Reyes. By following the internal links that the piece provides, readers get a full sense of what’s at stake, the candidates’ platforms, and how the campaign is shaping the state’s future.


1. The Stakes: Who Holds the Delegation?

Virginia’s House of Delegates has 100 seats. For the 2024 session, the Republican caucus holds a razor‑thin 51‑seat majority. Losing even a single seat would force the GOP to negotiate with moderate Democrats and potentially open the door for a Democratic takeover of the chamber—something that has never happened in recent history. That’s why the 77th district, which has historically leaned Republican but is experiencing rapid demographic change, is a “swing district” that the media and the party establishment are watching closely.

The Richmond.com article links to the Virginia Board of Elections’ official race page (link: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election/2024/07/2024-07-02/), where voters can find filing deadlines, candidate declarations, and the primary schedule. The article notes that Smith has already secured a 35‑year tenure in the legislature, whereas Reyes, a former city councilwoman, is seeking her first state‑level office.


2. Candidate Profiles and Platforms

Mike Smith
- Background: Smith is a former Army Ranger turned businessman who owns a local manufacturing firm. He’s held the seat since 1995 and is known for his hard‑line stance on business regulation and law enforcement.
- Key Issues: Smith advocates for lower taxes, less red‑tape for small businesses, and a “stronger police force.” He also supports the expansion of the county’s infrastructure projects, citing the need for new highways to alleviate congestion in the growing suburbs.
- Link: The article includes a link to Smith’s campaign website (link: https://mikesmith77.com) where voters can download his platform, watch his campaign videos, and donate.

Anna Reyes
- Background: Reyes served on the Richmond City Council from 2017 to 2023, focusing on housing equity and education reform. A Democrat with a background in community organizing, she’s recognized for her grassroots fundraising skills.
- Key Issues: Reyes prioritizes affordable housing, public transportation, and expanding broadband access to rural areas of the district. She also pushes for reform of the state’s criminal justice system and greater transparency in public procurement.
- Link: Readers can visit her campaign website (link: https://annar-77.com) to read her policy proposals, watch her debate clips, and view her pledge to support a 30‑year mortgage plan for first‑time homeowners.


3. Campaign Milestones

The article tracks the race’s key moments, from the filing deadline (June 15) to the primary held on July 2. It also highlights:

  • Rally and Debate Dates: Smith’s campaign held a “Community Business Fair” on June 1 at the Richmond Convention Center, while Reyes hosted a “Housing Equity Forum” on June 12. Both candidates participated in a televised debate on June 28 hosted by the Richmond Times‑Dispatch (link: https://richmond.com/delegate-debate-2024).
  • Fundraising Totals: By mid‑June, Smith had raised $450,000—mostly from local corporate donors—while Reyes had collected $380,000 through small‑donor contributions and an online crowdfunding campaign (link: https://www.indiegogo.com/annar77).
  • Endorsements: Smith received the endorsement of the Virginia Chamber of Commerce and the Richmond Police Benevolent Association. Reyes was backed by the Richmond City Council, the Virginia AFL‑CIO, and the Richmond Housing Alliance (link: https://www.vaclantern.org). The article notes how these endorsements could influence voters’ perception of each candidate’s alignment with either business or community interests.

4. Voter Turnout and Demographic Shifts

One of the article’s strongest analytical points is its focus on the district’s evolving demographics. The Richmond.com piece cites a recent Census update that shows the 77th district’s population grew by 7 % over the last decade, with a significant influx of younger professionals and a modest increase in the Latino community. According to a poll conducted by the Virginia Institute of Politics (link: https://www.vip.edu/polls/77th-district), 55 % of voters say “economic opportunity” is the top priority, while 47 % cite “housing affordability.”

The article links to the poll’s methodology page, explaining that the sample included 1,200 respondents, weighted for age, race, and income. The poll’s findings suggest a possible shift away from the traditionally pro‑business stance of Smith toward Reyes’ platform on affordable housing.


5. What This Race Means for the State Legislature

The article’s editorial section concludes by framing the 77th district as a bellwether for the upcoming legislative session. If Smith retains his seat, Republicans will keep a 51‑41 majority and can push through a business‑friendly agenda. A win for Reyes would not only flip the seat but also bring the chamber to 50‑50, creating a power‑share that would allow Democrats to negotiate on committees and influence legislation, especially on issues like housing and education.

The Richmond.com piece also highlights the possibility of a post‑primary runoff if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the primary—a scenario that has happened in Virginia’s history. The article links to the Virginia Election Rules (link: https://law.lis.virginia.gov/vacode/title1.2/chapter3/) to explain the runoff process.


6. How Readers Can Get Involved

Finally, the article provides practical steps for voters:

  • Check the Official Voter Guide (link: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/voter/guide) for registration deadlines and polling locations.
  • Attend one of the two remaining candidate forums, scheduled for July 4 at the Richmond City Hall.
  • Volunteer for either campaign, with both teams running online sign‑up sheets (links to each campaign’s volunteer page).

The Richmond.com article encourages readers to stay informed and to use the embedded links to verify candidate claims and compare platforms.


Closing Thoughts

This article is more than a simple race recap; it’s a microcosm of Virginia politics. The 77th district’s election encapsulates the clash between long‑standing Republican dominance and a growing Democratic challenge in suburban‑rural Virginia. By interlinking candidate websites, official election resources, and recent poll data, Richmond.com provides readers with a comprehensive, data‑driven narrative that explains not only who is running, but why the race matters for the entire Commonwealth. For anyone interested in the future of Virginia’s legislative agenda, the outcome of this contest will be a must‑watch indicator.


Read the Full Richmond Article at:
[ https://richmond.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/elections/article_54606c06-ba59-4b4f-a951-66d35ecd5f1c.html ]