The Illusion of the Ballot: Democratic Backsliding in Brazil and Serbia

The Illusion of the Ballot
At the heart of the current crisis in both Brazil and Serbia is the decoupling of elections from actual democracy. In these contexts, the act of voting remains a central ritual, yet the environment in which that vote takes place is fundamentally compromised. The ability to hold an election does not, by itself, guarantee a democratic outcome if the playing field is systematically tilted.
In Serbia, this manifests as a consolidation of power where the state apparatus and the media are effectively merged. When a singular political entity controls the narrative and the flow of information, the electoral process becomes a formality—a performance of legitimacy rather than a genuine contest of ideas. The objective is not to abolish the election, but to ensure that the outcome is predetermined long before the first ballot is cast.
Institutional Stress and the Brazilian Experience
Brazil presents a different but equally concerning trajectory. Here, the tension exists in the volatility between the executive branch and the judicial institutions. The fragility of the democratic social contract is exposed when the results of electoral processes are delegitimized by those in power.
When political leaders cast doubt on the integrity of electronic voting systems or the neutrality of the courts without providing empirical evidence, they are not merely campaigning; they are attacking the foundational trust required for a peaceful transition of power. This process of delegitimization creates a psychological environment where a significant portion of the electorate becomes susceptible to the idea that the only way to "save" democracy is to bypass its rules.
The Mechanics of Incrementalism
- Media Capture: The systematic acquisition or intimidation of independent news outlets to ensure that only the state-sanctioned version of reality reaches the public.
- Lawfare: The weaponization of the legal system to target political opponents, using the guise of "rule of law" to disqualify challengers or silence critics.
- Polarization as a Tool: The intentional deepening of societal divisions to ensure that the populace is more focused on their internal enemies than on the erosion of their own rights.
The Hollowing Out of Norms
- The parallel between these two disparate nations suggests a global trend of "democratic backsliding." This process relies on several key mechanisms
What is most striking about the situations in Brazil and Serbia is the preservation of the forms of democracy while the norms are discarded. Democratic norms—such as the acceptance of defeat, the protection of minority rights, and the independence of the judiciary—are the invisible guardrails that prevent a republic from sliding into autocracy.
Once these norms are broken, the written constitution becomes a dead letter. The law is no longer a shield for the citizen, but a sword for the state. In Serbia, the centralization of power has created a system of patronage that makes dissent not only politically dangerous but economically impossible. In Brazil, the fragility of institutional norms has led to a state of perpetual political crisis, where the machinery of government is used as a battlefield for partisan warfare.
Conclusion
The trajectories of Brazil and Serbia serve as a warning that democracy is not a static achievement but a continuous process of maintenance. The erosion of democratic values does not happen overnight; it happens through a thousand small concessions. When the public accepts the slow disappearance of a free press or the gradual intimidation of judges, they are witnessing the architecture of decay. The lesson is clear: a country that holds elections but lacks the institutional integrity to protect the process is not a democracy—it is an autocracy with a voting booth.
Read the Full Chicago Tribune Article at:
https://www.chicagotribune.com/2026/10/30/column-brazil-serbia-elections-democracy-shackelford/
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