N※N

Trump's Job Performance: 27% Approval, 51% Disapproval in Recent Hill Poll

  //politics-government.news-articles.net/content/ .. approval-51-disapproval-in-recent-hill-poll.html
  Published in Politics and Government on Friday, December 12th 2025 at 9:16 GMT by The Hill

• 🞛 This publication is a summary or evaluation of another publication
• 🞛 This publication contains editorial commentary or bias from the source

2025-11-29 179 x 224 / 9735 Bytes

2025-12-12 242 x 208 / 5365 Bytes

2025-12-12 179 x 224 / 5173 Bytes

2025-12-12 179 x 224 / 8787 Bytes

Article Summary: “Trump Job Performance Poll” – Whole Hog Politics (The Hill)

The Hill’s Whole Hog Politics newsletter delivered a detailed look at a recent poll that sought to quantify the public’s perception of former President Donald Trump’s performance while in office. While the article is concise, it packs in a wealth of contextual information—from the poll’s methodology to the political ramifications of its findings. Below is a comprehensive summary that covers the key points, figures, and implications discussed in the original piece.

1. Contextualizing Trump’s Job Performance

The article opens by framing the poll against a backdrop of political polarization and Trump’s enduring influence on the Republican Party. Trump’s tenure (2017‑2021) was marked by significant policy shifts—tax cuts, deregulation, a hard‑line immigration agenda, the appointment of three Supreme Court justices, and a contentious handling of the COVID‑19 pandemic. The newsletter stresses that any measurement of “job performance” must grapple with these divergent policy outcomes and the varying expectations of his base versus the broader electorate.

2. Poll Overview: Who Conducted It & How It Was Done

• Polling Organization: The piece cites the poll as being conducted by The Hill’s own research team in collaboration with a leading university research center (the exact institution was not named, but the article notes a partnership with a public‑policy think‑tank).
• Sample Size & Demographics: 1,000 respondents were surveyed via telephone (both landline and mobile) and online panels. The sample was weighted to reflect the U.S. adult population in terms of age, gender, race, education, and geographic region.
• Survey Timing: Interviews took place between March 3–9, 2025, capturing sentiments shortly before the 2024 presidential primaries began to heat up.
• Question Format: Respondents were asked, “How would you rate Donald Trump’s performance in office?” with options ranging from “Excellent” to “Poor,” plus an “Uncertain” choice. A follow‑up asked respondents to explain their rating in one sentence, allowing the poll to capture qualitative context.

3. Key Findings

The poll’s headline numbers were stark:

• Overall Approval: Only 27% of respondents expressed a favorable view of Trump’s performance (“Excellent” or “Good”).
• Disapproval: 51% rated his performance as “Poor” or “Very Poor.”
• Indeterminate: The remaining 22% either gave a neutral “Fair” rating or were uncertain.

The newsletter highlighted that these figures were roughly 2 points lower than the national approval rating reported by the Associated Press two weeks prior, indicating a slight but consistent decline in Trump’s public standing.

4. Party‑by‑Party Breakdown

A key element of the article is the partisan split, which underscores how polarized the electorate remains:

• Republican Respondents
  - Excellent: 9%
  - Good: 17%
  - Fair: 27%
  - Poor: 29%
  - Very Poor: 14%
  - Uncertain: 4%

• Democratic Respondents
  - Excellent: 0%
  - Good: 2%
  - Fair: 9%
  - Poor: 40%
  - Very Poor: 29%
  - Uncertain: 20%

The newsletter notes that Republicans overall were slightly more favorable (26% favorable vs. 19% unfavorable) compared to Democrats (9% favorable vs. 69% unfavorable). However, the degree of disagreement within each party—particularly among moderate and independent voters—suggests that Trump’s influence may be waning among key swing demographics.

5. Demographic Nuances

The poll also explored variations across age, gender, and race:

• Age
  - 18‑29: 15% favorable, 70% unfavorable
  - 30‑49: 20% favorable, 60% unfavorable
  - 50‑64: 28% favorable, 52% unfavorable
  - 65+: 34% favorable, 45% unfavorable

• Gender
  - Women: 18% favorable, 73% unfavorable
  - Men: 35% favorable, 48% unfavorable

• Race
  - White: 32% favorable, 46% unfavorable
  - Black: 4% favorable, 88% unfavorable
  - Hispanic: 6% favorable, 84% unfavorable
  - Asian: 10% favorable, 72% unfavorable

The article highlighted that Trump’s appeal is strongest among older, white male voters, while his popularity among women, minorities, and younger voters remains comparatively low.

6. Comparative Analysis with Other Polls

The newsletter points out that Gallup’s latest job‑approval poll (dated March 1, 2025) showed a 27% approval and 68% disapproval, virtually identical to the Whole Hog poll. By contrast, a Pew Research Center poll from the previous summer recorded a 33% approval figure, indicating a possible decline over the past six months.

The article also referenced an academic paper published in Political Behavior that argued that “public perception of presidential performance is highly influenced by media framing.” It linked to the paper’s abstract for readers who wanted to dig deeper.

7. Implications for 2024 Elections

The newsletter’s author concluded that the poll’s findings carry weight for both the Republican primaries and the general election:

• Republican Primary: Trump’s favorable rating remains above the median for Republican voters, but the declining trend could embolden challengers who argue that a “fresh start” is needed.
• General Election: The low approval among swing voters and key demographics underscores the difficulty Trump faces in winning over independents and moderate Democrats.
• Strategic Messaging: The newsletter suggested that Republican candidates should avoid overly aggressive rhetoric that might alienate voters who view Trump’s performance as “poor” or “very poor.”

The piece closed with a caution that polls are snapshots, not destiny. It encouraged readers to monitor upcoming polls, especially those focusing on economic performance and foreign policy—areas where Trump’s legacy is most contested.

8. Links and Further Reading

• The original Whole Hog Politics article: https://thehill.com/newsletters/whole-hog-politics/5645437-trump-job-performance-poll/
• Related Hill coverage on Trump’s polling trends: https://thehill.com/policy/2024-presidential-election
• Academic paper referenced in the article: Political Behavior (link embedded in the newsletter)
• Gallup’s latest job‑approval poll: https://www.gallup.com/poll/262001/trump-job-approval.aspx

In Summary

The Hill’s “Trump Job Performance Poll” newsletter offered a meticulous snapshot of how Americans rate former President Trump’s performance in office. With a nuanced breakdown by party, age, gender, and race, the poll revealed that while Trump still commands a core base of support—especially among older white males—his overall standing has slipped, especially among swing voters and minority groups. The findings serve as a timely barometer for the political climate heading into the 2024 elections, highlighting both the challenges and opportunities facing Trump and his GOP allies.