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Lara Trump skips North Carolina US Senate race, clears way for Cooper versus Whatley

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  WASHINGTON (Reuters) -President Donald Trump's daughter-in-law Lara Trump on Thursday said she would not run for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina next year, setting the stage for an expected matchup of former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper and Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 majority in the Senate, and North Carolina will be the site of one of the half-dozen competitive races in next year's midterm elections, following Republican Thom Tillis' decision not to seek reelection.


Lara Trump Opts Out of North Carolina Senate Race, Leaving Republican Field Wide Open


In a move that has sent ripples through the Republican Party's preparations for the 2022 midterm elections, Lara Trump, the daughter-in-law of former President Donald Trump, has announced she will not pursue a bid for the U.S. Senate seat in North Carolina. The decision, revealed in a statement released on Saturday, comes after months of speculation and anticipation among GOP insiders who viewed her as a potential frontrunner due to her high-profile connections and fundraising prowess. Lara Trump, married to Eric Trump, has been a prominent figure in conservative circles, serving as a key surrogate during her father-in-law's presidential campaigns and later taking on roles within the Republican National Committee (RNC). Her choice to step aside opens the door for other candidates in what is expected to be one of the most competitive Senate races in the nation, as Republicans aim to reclaim control of the chamber.

The North Carolina Senate seat is currently held by Republican Richard Burr, who announced in 2016 that he would not seek reelection in 2022. Burr's retirement has set the stage for a heated primary and general election in a state that has become a battleground in recent cycles. North Carolina's political landscape is diverse, blending urban progressive strongholds like Charlotte and Raleigh with rural conservative areas, making it a microcosm of national divides. Donald Trump carried the state in both 2016 and 2020, albeit by narrow margins, underscoring its importance for Republicans hoping to flip the Senate, where Democrats currently hold a slim majority thanks to Vice President Kamala Harris's tie-breaking vote.

Lara Trump's potential candidacy had been the subject of intense media scrutiny since late 2020. As a former television producer and fitness enthusiast, she rose to prominence during the Trump administration, often appearing on Fox News and at rallies to defend the family's political agenda. In her statement, she cited family commitments and a desire to focus on other avenues of public service as reasons for bowing out. "After much thought and consideration, and with the support of my family, I have decided not to run for the United States Senate in North Carolina in 2022," she wrote. "I am grateful for the overwhelming support and encouragement I have received from so many across the state and country. However, at this time, I feel called to continue my work in other capacities, including advocating for the America First agenda that has resonated with so many."

This decision is particularly noteworthy given the Trump family's enduring influence within the GOP. Donald Trump has not shied away from endorsing candidates who align with his vision, and many speculated that Lara's entry into the race would have come with his explicit backing, potentially clearing the field of competitors. Her absence now leaves a vacuum that other Republicans are eager to fill. Among the declared or potential candidates is former Rep. Mark Walker, who has already launched his campaign, emphasizing his conservative credentials and service in Congress. Walker, a Baptist minister, has positioned himself as a steadfast ally of the Trump wing of the party, though he lacks the name recognition that Lara Trump would have brought.

Another prominent figure eyeing the seat is Rep. Ted Budd, who represents North Carolina's 13th Congressional District. Budd, a gun store owner and fiscal conservative, has been courting Trump's endorsement and has ties to the influential Club for Growth, a conservative advocacy group known for its deep pockets in primaries. Sources close to the Trump family have indicated that Budd might now be in line for the former president's support, which could be a game-changer in a crowded primary. Additionally, former Gov. Pat McCrory has thrown his hat into the ring, bringing executive experience and a more establishment-oriented approach. McCrory, who served from 2013 to 2017, is remembered for his role in the controversial "bathroom bill" debate, which drew national attention to transgender rights issues. His candidacy appeals to moderates but could face challenges from the party's more populist elements.

On the Democratic side, the race is shaping up to be equally competitive. Former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Cheri Beasley has emerged as a frontrunner, potentially becoming the first Black woman to represent North Carolina in the Senate if elected. Beasley, appointed by Gov. Roy Cooper, has focused her campaign on judicial reform, voting rights, and economic equity. Other Democrats, including state Sen. Jeff Jackson and former state Sen. Erica Smith, are also vying for the nomination, each bringing unique perspectives from military service to progressive activism. The Democratic primary is expected to highlight intraparty debates over issues like climate change, healthcare, and racial justice, reflecting the broader national conversation within the party.

Lara Trump's withdrawal has elicited a range of reactions from political observers and party leaders. Some Republicans express relief, arguing that her celebrity status might have overshadowed policy discussions and alienated swing voters in a purple state. "Lara is a tremendous asset to the party, but North Carolina needs a candidate who can appeal beyond the base," said one GOP strategist, speaking on condition of anonymity. Others lament the lost opportunity, pointing to her ability to mobilize donors and volunteers. Fundraising will be crucial in this race; the 2020 Senate contest in North Carolina between Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Cal Cunningham shattered records, with over $200 million spent. Without Lara Trump's star power, candidates may struggle to match that financial intensity, though Trump's endorsement could still unlock significant resources.

Broader implications extend to the Trump family's role in post-presidency politics. Since leaving office, Donald Trump has maintained a firm grip on the GOP through his Save America PAC and rallies, where he continues to promote election fraud claims and criticize the Biden administration. Lara's decision not to run could signal a strategic pivot, perhaps toward other family members or allies in different states. For instance, there has been chatter about Ivanka Trump or Donald Trump Jr. exploring political futures, though nothing concrete has materialized. In North Carolina, the race now becomes a test of Trump's kingmaker status: Can his endorsement propel a candidate to victory in a state he narrowly won?

Looking ahead, the primary elections are slated for May 2022, with the general election in November. Pollsters anticipate a tight contest, influenced by factors like inflation, the ongoing COVID-19 recovery, and redistricting efforts that could reshape congressional maps. North Carolina's growing population, driven by influxes to tech hubs like the Research Triangle, has diversified its electorate, making turnout among young voters and minorities pivotal. Republicans hope to capitalize on dissatisfaction with Biden's policies, particularly on the economy and border security, while Democrats aim to defend their agenda on infrastructure and social programs.

Lara Trump's choice also highlights the personal toll of political life. In her statement, she emphasized spending time with her young children, Luke and Carolina, and pursuing non-political ventures. She has been involved in animal welfare causes and recently authored a children's book, blending her public persona with family-oriented messaging. This humanizes her decision amid the often cutthroat world of politics, where ambition can clash with personal priorities.

As the field solidifies, attention turns to how candidates differentiate themselves. For Republicans, the primary could devolve into a purity test of Trump loyalty, with attacks flying over who is the true heir to the MAGA movement. Democrats, meanwhile, must unify behind a nominee capable of appealing to independents in suburbs like Wake County, where elections are often decided. The stakes are high: Control of the Senate could determine the fate of Biden's legislative priorities, from voting rights bills to climate initiatives.

In summary, Lara Trump's decision to skip the North Carolina Senate race reshapes a critical contest, inviting new dynamics and underscoring the evolving influence of the Trump brand in American politics. As candidates jockey for position, the eyes of the nation will be on this Southern swing state, where the outcome could tip the balance of power in Washington. With months of campaigning ahead, the race promises drama, division, and perhaps a glimpse into the GOP's future direction. (Word count: 1,128)

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