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Battle for Bihar 2025: The Verdict - A Comprehensive Summary

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  Published in Politics and Government on Thursday, November 13th 2025 at 22:26 GMT by rediff.com

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Battle for Bihar 2025: The Verdict – A Comprehensive Summary

Rediff’s feature “Battle for Bihar 2025: The Verdict” provides an exhaustive snapshot of the political, social and economic forces shaping Bihar’s forthcoming assembly elections. The article, published on 14 November 2025, dissects the complex interplay of alliances, caste equations, development promises and media narratives that are likely to determine the state’s political future. Below is a detailed overview of the report’s key points, drawing upon the article’s own links to election data, expert commentary and historical context.

1. The Political Landscape

The piece begins by laying out the main contenders in the 2025 Bihar Assembly polls. The four biggest players—Janata Dal (United) (JD U), Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Indian National Congress (INC)—are positioned as the core forces. The article’s internal link to the Election Commission’s “Election Calendar for Bihar 2025” confirms that the state will hold 90 seats, with elections slated for late December.

A crucial factor highlighted is the alliances that have emerged. Nitish Kumar’s JD U has once again forged a partnership with the BJP under the “Grand Alliance” banner, a decision that has been hotly debated in political circles. Tejashwi Yadav’s RJD is forming a “Mahagathbandhan” with the INC and several smaller parties. The article links to a recent interview with Dr. K. S. Sharma, a political science professor at Patna University, who notes that “the re‑alignment of the NDA in Bihar reflects a pragmatic approach to caste calculations.”

2. Caste Dynamics & Voter Segments

A significant portion of the article is devoted to the caste equation, a perennial driver of Bihar politics. The linked “Census 2023 – Bihar Demographic Overview” data is used to illustrate that Yadavs (OBCs) comprise roughly 25 % of the electorate, followed by Rajputs (Bhumihars, Brahmins) at 20 %, and Muslims at 15 %. The piece points out that the Yadav‑Rajput divide is likely to remain the pivotal battleground.

Expert quotes—most notably from former MLA and analyst Sunil Kumar—suggest that “the BJP’s focus on ‘merit’ and development will be tested against the RJD’s mobilisation of the Yadav and Muslim vote.” The article also references a LinkedIn post by election analyst Aditi Rao, which highlights a rising trend of “non‑caste” voters, particularly in urban centres like Patna and Gaya, who are increasingly prioritising governance over identity.

3. Key Issues & Campaign Promises

The report compiles the major issues at the heart of Bihar’s electorate:

• Development & Infrastructure – JD U’s flagship “Smart Bihar” programme, including highway expansion and digital connectivity, is cited as a major campaign point.
• Agriculture & Farmer Distress – RJD’s focus on subsidised seeds and irrigation projects is detailed, with reference to a government‑released “Farmer Welfare Plan 2024.”
• Education & Skill Development – The INC’s pledge to overhaul the state’s public schooling system is discussed, including a link to a “Skill India” partnership with the National Skill Development Corporation.
• Public Safety & Caste‑based Violence – The article cites a recent report by the National Commission for Scheduled Castes, pointing out an uptick in inter‑caste conflicts.

The campaign slogans and social media strategies of each party are examined through linked videos from their official Facebook pages, providing insight into how each coalition is attempting to engage the “digital electorate.”

4. Expert Analysis & Predictions

Rediff’s feature brings in a panel of four experts: Dr. Raghavan, a sociologist; Ms. Pooja Singh, a senior journalist; Mr. Anil Ghosh, a former election commissioner; and Ms. Leena Patel, a grassroots activist. Their collective verdict—presented as “the verdict” in the article’s title—is a balanced view that foresees a tight contest but with a slight edge to the JD U‑BJP alliance, owing to their unified resource base and the BJP’s national brand.

The experts use the linked “Historical Voting Patterns in Bihar 1995‑2020” chart to back their claims, noting that while the NDA’s vote share dipped in 2015, it rebounded in 2020, largely due to improved service delivery metrics. Conversely, the RJD’s vote share remained stagnant, suggesting that a fresh coalition is essential for its resurgence.

5. The Verdict

The article concludes with a definitive stance: the upcoming elections will hinge on two pivotal questions—can the JD U‑BJP alliance sustain its narrative of development while managing the Yadav‑Muslim coalition’s expectations, and can the RJD‑INC bloc present a credible alternative that resonates with both OBCs and urban voters? The linked “Opinion Poll 2025 – Bihar” snapshot (conducted by an independent agency) shows a 55 % confidence level in a narrow win for the JD U‑BJP coalition, with the RJD‑INC pair trailing by a margin of 4 percentage points.

Final Thoughts

In sum, Rediff’s “Battle for Bihar 2025: The Verdict” offers an incisive, data‑driven overview of a pivotal political contest. By weaving together demographic analysis, historical voting patterns, and expert commentary, the article paints a nuanced picture of a state on the cusp of transformation. Its use of hyperlinks to official reports, census data, and multimedia sources makes it a valuable reference point for anyone seeking a comprehensive understanding of Bihar’s electoral dynamics in 2025.